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Fibonacci and Gann Applications in Financial Markets

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Chart<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Difficulties: A Historical Perspective 43<br />

The Gilt market is no longer priced <strong>in</strong> 32nds <strong>and</strong> the transfer of historic prices to<br />

metric was laborious. Remember that 1�32 is 0.03125 so round<strong>in</strong>g errors have to<br />

creep <strong>in</strong> for translation to decimal paper, which displays prices to two decimal<br />

places, but the larger decimal can rema<strong>in</strong> for electronic chart<strong>in</strong>g. The use of Imperial<br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g is not as confus<strong>in</strong>g as it sounds as it has an <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g history. Before<br />

price electronic dissem<strong>in</strong>ation of prices, deals were signalled by h<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> could be<br />

seen over fairly long distances, not just across a room. The big number (pounds or<br />

dollars) was signalled with a tap on the head, half of that (1�2) signalled with a tap<br />

to the ear, half of that (1�4) with a tap on the shoulder, half of that (1�8) with the<br />

elbow, half of that (1�16) with the wrist <strong>and</strong> half of that (1�32) on the h<strong>and</strong>. This<br />

gives the follow<strong>in</strong>g: 1, 1�2, 1�4, 1�8, 1�16 <strong>and</strong> 1�32 <strong>and</strong> from comb<strong>in</strong>ations of<br />

these signals all possible prices could be given. Even the way of writ<strong>in</strong>g the price<br />

was <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g; e.g. 97 <strong>and</strong> three 32nds was 97-03, 97 <strong>and</strong> a half was 97-16. It was<br />

<strong>in</strong>deed a sad day when it no longer became compulsory or necessary to be able to<br />

turn a fraction to a decimal <strong>in</strong> the trader’s head.<br />

It is my firm belief that some of the skills that paper chart<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stilled <strong>in</strong> the<br />

novice technician have been lost with the advent of easy-to-use computerised chart<strong>in</strong>g<br />

tools. Undoubtedly the possibility of us<strong>in</strong>g computer power to chart stochastics<br />

<strong>and</strong> RSIs is a huge advance, but when it comes to the more ‘h<strong>and</strong>s-on’ traditional<br />

methods of chart<strong>in</strong>g, the art form of technical analysis has been overshadowed.<br />

What has been lost? Most chart<strong>in</strong>g packages allow the analyst to store huge<br />

amounts of historic data but here is where the problem lies: not all of it can be displayed<br />

under a constant price axis. If you have more than 1000 days of <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

then the package will oftentimes not be able to display this <strong>in</strong>formation. This is<br />

compounded by some of the onl<strong>in</strong>e chart<strong>in</strong>g tools where historical data are wiped<br />

from the current view<strong>in</strong>g zone as many onl<strong>in</strong>e systems have a limit to the number of<br />

ticks, hours <strong>and</strong> days that can be stored. Unless the analyst has been us<strong>in</strong>g the chart<br />

for a very long time (remember that 1000 days of <strong>in</strong>formation is just under five<br />

years) then the market knowledge of what had happened before then becomes lost<br />

as the long-term history has been wiped. Only rarely <strong>in</strong> my experience will a technical<br />

analyst go back to look<strong>in</strong>g at super-long charts, just because it is <strong>in</strong>convenient.<br />

I th<strong>in</strong>k this is dangerous behaviour <strong>in</strong> the long term. While there is no way I would<br />

advocate a return to the old paper days, contemporary technical analysts have to<br />

become aware of the pitfalls of screen-based chart<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

As mentioned above, there are problems connected with the amount of data that<br />

can be displayed. This was not the case with paper chart<strong>in</strong>g as all the data charted<br />

could be seen at a glance – as long as there was room to unroll the paper itself! It<br />

was much easier then to see what analysis had been done on the chart <strong>in</strong> the past,<br />

especially if the paper chart was <strong>in</strong>herited, as was often the case. As a technical analyst<br />

I like to th<strong>in</strong>k of each <strong>in</strong>strument I study as be<strong>in</strong>g a unique personality, with all

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