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Automotive Exports December 2019

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Turkish economy to record positive growth

by year-end, Albayrak says

The Turkish economy will close this

year with positive growth figures,

Treasury and Finance Minister

Berat Albayrak said, in reference to

improvement in macroeconomic trends

and rising economic confidence.

During a meeting with businesspeople

titled “Change is Beginning,” held

in the eastern Anatolian province of

Malatya, Albayrak underscored the

falling inflation, interest rates and

risk premiums as well as increasing

economic confidence and modest

improvement in industrial production.

The minister’s estimates have recently

been corroborated by the latest report

of the International Monetary Fund

(IMF). The report said last month that

the Turkish economy may see a growth

of 0.25%, reversing previous forecasts

of a 2.5% contraction.

Following the release of the secondquarter

data, experts also predicted

that the economy will register positive

growth in the third quarter. Turkey’s

economy shrank by 1.5% in the April-

June period, compared to the same

period last year. In the first quarter, the

revised data of the Turkish Statistical

Institute (TurkStat) revealed that the

economy shrank by 2.4%.

In reference to the positive trends in the

Turkish economy, Albayrak recalled,

“The $5.1 billion surplus in the current

account was a record in the history of

the Turkish Republic.” The drastic fall

in the current account surplus came

as a result of falling imports and a

set of measures by the government,

alleviating the burden of external

financing.

The annualized deficit climbed to $57.9

billion in May 2018 before it kicked

off a dramatic decline along with the

rebalancing period in the Turkish

economy that started after Albayrak

announced the new economic program

(NEP) in September last year. Measures

taken within this scope led to narrowing

in the foreign trade deficit, while a high

increase was observed in the rate of

exports meeting imports.

The new economic program unveiled in

December 2019

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