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5.4. Markov Decision Process Formulation<br />

and return decisions. Although the sequential approach is computationally less intensive;<br />

one may argue that the one-directional consideration of the sourcing and return decisions<br />

may lead to suboptimal decisions at times. In other words,<br />

Proposition 5.1<br />

V in<br />

t (�x) ≥ V sq<br />

t (�x)<br />

Proof We show that the inequality holds by induction. Assume that the inequality<br />

V in<br />

t+1(�x) ≥ V sq<br />

t+1 (�x) ∀ �x ∈ Z+<br />

M holds. Now we show that it holds for t. Weknow,<br />

V in<br />

t (�x) = � �<br />

λj max (1 − qj){gj − f<br />

i∈M,l∈L<br />

j∈N<br />

d ij − f p in<br />

ij + Vt+1(�x − �ei)}<br />

� in<br />

+ qj Vt+1(�x − �ei + �el) − f d ij − f r �<br />

lj<br />

�<br />

≥ � �<br />

λj max (1 − qj){gj − f<br />

i∈M,l∈L<br />

j∈N<br />

d ij − f p sq<br />

ij + Vt+1 (�x − �ei)}<br />

� sq<br />

+ qj Vt+1 (�x − �ei + �el) − f d ij − f r �<br />

lj<br />

�<br />

≥ � �<br />

�<br />

λj (1 − qj)max gj − f<br />

i∈M<br />

j∈N<br />

d ij − f p sq �<br />

ij + Vt+1 (�x − �ei)<br />

+ qj max<br />

l∈L|i∗ � sq<br />

Vt+1 (�x − �ei + �el) − f d ij − f r �<br />

lj<br />

�<br />

=V sq<br />

t (�x). �<br />

Proposition 5.1 implies that bi-directional integration would lead to a higher expected<br />

value than the sequential formulation. In other words, we may infer that the decisions<br />

made while accounting for the bi-directional interaction between sourcing and returns<br />

should lead to a higher value. To analyze the extent of losses incurred by sequentially accommodating<br />

the interaction between sourcing and return decisions, we perform detailed<br />

numerical experiments.<br />

5.4.1 Integrated vs.<br />

ments<br />

Sequential Decisions - Numerical Experi-<br />

We first describe the simulation test bed used to numerically analyze the integrated and<br />

sequential formulations. We consider a logistics network consisting of three customers,<br />

139

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