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nr. 477 - 2011 - Institut for Natur, Systemer og Modeller (NSM)

nr. 477 - 2011 - Institut for Natur, Systemer og Modeller (NSM)

nr. 477 - 2011 - Institut for Natur, Systemer og Modeller (NSM)

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7 A Brief Introduction to Bifurcation<br />

Analysis and Numerical Methods<br />

A natural question to ask one self when working with models of physiol<strong>og</strong>ical phenomena<br />

is how sensitive the model is to changes in parameter values. This is interesting from<br />

a purely mathematical point of view, because an analysis of how the stability depends<br />

on one or several parameter values is a bifurcation analysis. A bifurcation analysis also<br />

provides insight into the behavior of the mathematical model, which of course should<br />

reflect the biol<strong>og</strong>y it models. Thus the bifurcation analysis is also interesting from the<br />

modelling/biol<strong>og</strong>ical perspective.<br />

In this chapter we provide the reader with an introduction to (local) bifurcations in<br />

general, and proceed on to choose bifurcation parameters and appertaining intervals.<br />

After this we briefly describe how we have found, and determined the stability of, the<br />

eigenvalues. All of these pieces are combined into bifurcation diagrams in chapter 8<br />

where we also per<strong>for</strong>m an analysis of the DuCa model.<br />

But first let us introduce the concept of bifurcation, and shed some light on its significance<br />

in modelling of biol<strong>og</strong>ical system in general and the DuCa model in particular.<br />

7.1 Generic Bifurcations<br />

Assume that we have a one-parameter system of differential equations, f(x, r), where<br />

r ∈ R is the parameter, and f(x) := ˙x ∈ R n , where the dot denotes d/dt. We want to<br />

find out what happens to the behavior <strong>for</strong> different values of r.<br />

Case 1 is: different values of r shifts the location of the equilibria, but does not change<br />

their stability or create new ones. Like changing p ∈ R + \0 in g(x) = x 2 − p will change<br />

the roots <strong>for</strong> g, but not the number of solutions. In this case the flows corresponding<br />

to different r’s are topol<strong>og</strong>ically equivalent.<br />

Case 2 is: different values of r does induce a change in the flow, i.e. change in stability<br />

of, or creation of, equilibria. In this case there is no longer a topol<strong>og</strong>ical equivalence<br />

between the flows that arise <strong>for</strong> the different r values, and we say that a bifurcation<br />

has occurred. It may be easier to think of a bifurcation as a sudden change in the<br />

qualitative behavior of the solutions to a system of differential equations. 1<br />

Thus a bifurcation analysis is the investigation of how the qualitative behavior of a<br />

system depends on a parameter.<br />

When a bifurcation occurs upon shifting only one parameter, the bifurcation is sometimes<br />

called a codimension one bifurcation. Similarly if two parameters must be varied<br />

1 Here system is used in the general sense, so one differential equation alone can be a system.<br />

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