The Economic Impact of the UK Film Industry - BFI - British Film ...
The Economic Impact of the UK Film Industry - BFI - British Film ...
The Economic Impact of the UK Film Industry - BFI - British Film ...
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
<strong>Economic</strong> Contribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>UK</strong> <strong>Film</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />
July 2007<br />
We <strong>the</strong>n sought to improve on <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> Equations 2 and 3 by introducing a number <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
variables. Robertson (2003) 33 finds that <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> advertising spend promoting a film has a significant<br />
impact on <strong>the</strong> revenue it earns at <strong>the</strong> box <strong>of</strong>fice. We <strong>the</strong>refore include <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> a film’s advertising in<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>UK</strong> in Equation 2. We also experimented with dummies for ten film genre types (taking <strong>the</strong> value 1 if a<br />
film was, for example, a comedy, and zero o<strong>the</strong>rwise). Virtually all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> film genre type dummies proved<br />
statistically insignificant and we <strong>the</strong>refore dropped <strong>the</strong>m from <strong>the</strong> final specification.<br />
Our preferred equation is shown below. Its’ overall performance is good, being able to explain three-<br />
quarters <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variation in films’ box <strong>of</strong>fice receipts in <strong>the</strong> <strong>UK</strong>. It confirms that cinema audiences are<br />
prepared to pay more to see a film produced domestically. <strong>The</strong> β coefficient, which is statistically<br />
significant, suggests that <strong>UK</strong> films’ box <strong>of</strong>fice receipts are around 30% higher than if <strong>the</strong> same film was<br />
made elsewhere.<br />
<strong>UK</strong> Box Office Revenues (2000 to 2006)<br />
Dependent Variable: log(BO j<strong>UK</strong> )<br />
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.<br />
α 1.5 0.2 7.5 0.0<br />
β 0.3 0.1 3.5 0.0<br />
δ 0.4 0.0 20.3 0.0<br />
γ 2.0 0.1 23.6 0.0<br />
λ<br />
where:<br />
0.5 0.0 23.6 0.0<br />
ln( BO j<strong>UK</strong> ) = α<br />
+ β ∗ <strong>Film</strong> <strong>UK</strong> j + δ ∗ ln( <strong>Film</strong> <strong>UK</strong> j ∗ exp( γ ) ∗ BO jUS<br />
+ ( 1−<br />
<strong>Film</strong> <strong>UK</strong> ) ∗ BO ) + λ ∗ ln( Advertising<br />
Expenditure<br />
)<br />
j<br />
jUS<br />
Observations: 1470<br />
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
R-squared 0.76 Mean dependent var 13.17<br />
Adjusted R-squared 0.76 S.D. dependent var 2.35<br />
S.E. <strong>of</strong> regression 1.15 Sum squared resid 1952.01<br />
Durbin-Watson stat 1.87<br />
33 Robertson, T, (2003), ‘Advertising effectiveness in <strong>UK</strong> film distribution’, A report for <strong>the</strong> <strong>UK</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Council, September.<br />
j<br />
53