2010-09-06 YURA_SWOT- PP4 - EU-Regionalmanagement ...

Concerning the distribution of the age groups the forecast indicates that there are going to be some major
demographic shifts. Diagram 8 shows that the percentage of the age group 0-14 will constantly declining,
dropping from 16,83% in 2001 to 13,20% in 2021. By contrast the age group 60+ will grow increasingly fast.
In 2021 already 28,52% of the population will be older than 60 years.
Possible effects of demographic change in the region
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- Infrastructure
Isolated municipalities are already confronted with declining numbers of residents. This could result
in closing of groceries and small shops, thus developing a self-perpetuating dynamic of decline.
Therefore, elder people may be forced to move to regional centers due to the lack of health care in
isolated municipalities.
- Education
The tremendous decline of young people (