The Future of Animal Agriculture in North America - Farm Foundation
The Future of Animal Agriculture in North America - Farm Foundation
The Future of Animal Agriculture in North America - Farm Foundation
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these systems have higher mortality rates. As a result <strong>of</strong> these<br />
factors, the total costs <strong>of</strong> production <strong>of</strong> eggs raised under<br />
alternative systems are higher than traditional systems (Figure<br />
2). Production costs per unit for barn eggs are roughly 12<br />
percent higher, and those for free-range eggs are roughly 20<br />
percent higher. This is less than the 50 percent estimate quoted<br />
earlier, but the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> cost is still significant. Estimates<br />
given <strong>in</strong> the report for the United States suggest that the<br />
variable costs <strong>of</strong> produc<strong>in</strong>g a dozen free-range eggs are 12<br />
percent to 30 percent higher than under conventional<br />
production systems. <strong>The</strong> total cost difference is likely to be<br />
greater than this because <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased fixed costs, particularly<br />
for hous<strong>in</strong>g, under the free-range system.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re is limited evidence on the cost impact <strong>of</strong> changes <strong>in</strong><br />
standards and production practices <strong>in</strong> other areas. Recent<br />
research <strong>in</strong> Switzerland suggests the labor and build<strong>in</strong>g costs for<br />
loose hous<strong>in</strong>g systems for dairy cattle compare favorably with<br />
tie-stalls, and that group hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> gestat<strong>in</strong>g sows can be more<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>itable than <strong>in</strong>dividual hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> stalls (Wyss et al., 2004).<br />
However, it appears that relatively little economic analysis has<br />
been done <strong>of</strong> many alternative production systems, so no<br />
def<strong>in</strong>itive conclusions can be drawn.<br />
Increases <strong>in</strong> production costs due to higher animal welfare<br />
standards will not be borne solely by producers <strong>in</strong> the form <strong>of</strong><br />
lower pr<strong>of</strong>its. At least part <strong>of</strong> the costs will be passed through to<br />
consumers <strong>in</strong> the form <strong>of</strong> higher prices. It has been argued that<br />
because most <strong>of</strong> the historical cost reductions from<br />
technological progress have been passed through to poultry<br />
consumers <strong>in</strong> the United States <strong>in</strong> the form <strong>of</strong> lower prices, any<br />
cost <strong>in</strong>creases result<strong>in</strong>g from higher welfare standards will have<br />
the reverse effect (Gardner, 2003). In the long run, this is likely<br />
to be true. But <strong>in</strong> the short term, consumers may adapt by<br />
switch<strong>in</strong>g to domestically produced or imported compet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
products, the prices <strong>of</strong> which are not affected by higher<br />
standards, thus plac<strong>in</strong>g more <strong>of</strong> the economic burden <strong>of</strong><br />
adjustment on domestic producers. This would suggest that to<br />
m<strong>in</strong>imize any potential distort<strong>in</strong>g effect on consumption,<br />
higher welfare standards should be applied broadly across subsectors<br />
<strong>of</strong> the animal <strong>in</strong>dustry, rather than be<strong>in</strong>g limited to one<br />
or two sectors. <strong>The</strong> issues raised by non-conform<strong>in</strong>g imports are<br />
significant and are discussed <strong>in</strong> more detail below.<br />
Long term, producers might be able to adapt to any higher<br />
costs imposed by standards through the adoption <strong>of</strong> new<br />
technology and production techniques. Changes <strong>in</strong> the<br />
structure <strong>of</strong> costs fac<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>dustry typically stimulate the<br />
search for cost-reduc<strong>in</strong>g solutions. <strong>Farm</strong> mechanization, for<br />
example, was stimulated by the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g cost <strong>of</strong> labor. Any<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> costs result<strong>in</strong>g from higher animal welfare standards<br />
is likely to generate similar responses <strong>in</strong> research and<br />
development. However, new technologies are unlikely to negate<br />
the adverse effects <strong>of</strong> higher standards on costs <strong>in</strong> the short run,<br />
<strong>Animal</strong> Welfare<br />
and the potential implications for competitiveness. Increased<br />
costs due to higher standards will put <strong>North</strong> <strong>America</strong> at a<br />
competitive disadvantage to producers <strong>in</strong> regions that have<br />
lower standards. If higher standards are adopted globally, there<br />
will still be a smaller <strong>in</strong>dustry if consumers respond by buy<strong>in</strong>g<br />
less <strong>of</strong> the higher priced products.<br />
Producers will be able to absorb the higher costs associated with<br />
higher welfare standards if consumers actively demand<br />
conform<strong>in</strong>g product. For this to happen, consumers must not<br />
only want to purchase the product and be will<strong>in</strong>g and able to<br />
pay a price premium, but they also must be able to identify it,<br />
i.e., it must be differentiated from non-conform<strong>in</strong>g products.<br />
This is the rationale beh<strong>in</strong>d the use <strong>of</strong> label<strong>in</strong>g to identify<br />
welfare-friendly products. Often figures are quoted show<strong>in</strong>g<br />
consumers’ will<strong>in</strong>gness to pay higher prices for products that<br />
meet certa<strong>in</strong> standards. Will<strong>in</strong>gness-to-pay estimates are<br />
typically derived by present<strong>in</strong>g selected groups <strong>of</strong> consumers<br />
with hypothetical choices among various products and ask<strong>in</strong>g<br />
them how much they would be will<strong>in</strong>g to pay for products with<br />
various attributes. European experience shows that will<strong>in</strong>gnessto-pay<br />
estimates typically overstate substantially the amount<br />
that consumers are actually prepared to pay for higher animal<br />
welfare standards when they are presented with real choices <strong>in</strong><br />
the marketplace (Blandford et al., 2002). Recent research<br />
conducted at Cardiff University <strong>in</strong> the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom also<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicates that European consumers are generally confused by<br />
wide variations <strong>in</strong> the label<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> animal-friendly products<br />
(Cardiff University, 2005). Such results suggest that the identity<br />
and nomenclature used to describe products need to be<br />
uniform and clearly understood <strong>in</strong> order for the market to<br />
reflect differences <strong>in</strong> products that are important <strong>in</strong> consumer<br />
choice. Consumer welfare may decl<strong>in</strong>e if a proliferation <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>formation makes <strong>in</strong>formed choice difficult.<br />
Because consumers may f<strong>in</strong>d it difficult and time consum<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
ensure that each product they buy meets all their requirements,<br />
they may rely on food retailers or restaurants to do this for<br />
them. Some suppliers may limit themselves to niche products<br />
with particular characteristics to satisfy this need. Suppliers may<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicate that they specialize <strong>in</strong> animal-friendly or free-range<br />
products <strong>in</strong> order to cater to the segment <strong>of</strong> the market that<br />
demands these characteristics.<br />
Individual producers that adopt higher welfare standards can<br />
determ<strong>in</strong>e whether this differentiated market will yield at least<br />
as much pr<strong>of</strong>it as an undifferentiated approach. If the higher<br />
standards and any result<strong>in</strong>g higher costs are imposed on all<br />
farms, there is no product differentiation. Producers seek<strong>in</strong>g a<br />
premium for do<strong>in</strong>g someth<strong>in</strong>g different are disappo<strong>in</strong>ted<br />
because they are like all other firms. Consumers more<br />
concerned about affordable food than higher welfare standards<br />
are also hurt because prices will eventually rise to reflect the<br />
higher cost <strong>of</strong> production.