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ief 22<br />

From Crisis to the<br />

Rubicon?<br />

2000–2001<br />

11 February 2000:<br />

hope and trust<br />

suspended<br />

The severe crisis that occurred in<br />

February 2000 revealed what had<br />

not been achieved by the peace process<br />

since the signing of the Agreement in<br />

1998: some kind of mutual<br />

understanding among the main<br />

conflicting parties in the North, the<br />

UUP and Sinn Fein. Such an<br />

understanding could have created<br />

confidence and resulted in the<br />

establishment of a language capable of<br />

communicating the political objectives<br />

and real concerns of the leaders and<br />

their constituencies. The actual events<br />

of 11 February—when Northern<br />

Ireland Secretary Peter Mandelson<br />

triggered the suspension of the<br />

Executive in order to preclude David<br />

Trimble’s resignation as First Minister—may<br />

at some time in the future<br />

be interpreted as a set-back of<br />

historical significance. At the crucial<br />

moment of implementing the<br />

institutional core piece of the Agreement,<br />

the act signalled a fundamental<br />

withdrawal of trust. Accusations from<br />

the Nationalist and Republican side<br />

ranged from “faulty decision” (Seamus<br />

Mallon) to “greatest disaster” (Martin<br />

McGuinness).<br />

Apparently the crisis occurred in spite<br />

of a rather successful first two months<br />

performance of the power-sharing<br />

experience, when people in Northern<br />

Ireland learned that—with their new<br />

ministers at work—the media had<br />

started to focus on schools, health and<br />

equality issues rather than on bullets<br />

and bad guys. Moreover, the crisis<br />

occurred in spite of cautious steps<br />

towards decommissioning: the IRA<br />

had begun to cooperate with the IICD<br />

in December 1999, while De<br />

Chastelain’s report of 12 February<br />

2000 contained the statement that<br />

there was “a real prospect . . . to fulfil<br />

the substance of its mandate”(Irish<br />

Times, 12 February 2000). In its report,<br />

the IICD referred to a first time<br />

commitment of the IRA to<br />

decommission “[putting] arms and<br />

explosives beyond use in the context<br />

of the full implementation of the<br />

Good Friday Agreement”, a move<br />

welcomed by both governments “as a<br />

development of real significance” (Irish<br />

Times, 12 February 2000). While David<br />

Trimble indicated that progress could<br />

not be too quick, if he was to free<br />

himself from the narrow margin<br />

caused by a considerable number of<br />

dissenters in his party, Sinn Fein leader<br />

Gerry Adams stated that, with the<br />

suspension, the British government<br />

had capitulated to Unionist pressure<br />

and deadlines instead of testing the<br />

new IRA position to overcome the<br />

decommissioning impasse.<br />

In the following weeks, the famous<br />

blame game was played out. While<br />

intensive, behind-the-scenes talks<br />

started between Sinn Fein and the two<br />

governments to defrost the<br />

decommissioning ice block, public<br />

attention moved to the other<br />

controversial issue of how to introduce<br />

a new police force into Northern<br />

Ireland. Unionist frustrations and fears<br />

were that full implementation of the<br />

Patten Commission’s recommendations<br />

on policing (www.belfast.org.uk/<br />

report.htm) would lead to an<br />

unbearable loss of identity for the<br />

RUC. Conversely—and with slightly<br />

different frontlines than over<br />

decommissioning—Nationalists and<br />

Republicans jointly voiced their<br />

criticism against the upcoming legislati-<br />

42 B·I·C·C<br />

ve process on policing which they<br />

feared did not take all Patten principles<br />

on board and would therefore make<br />

joining the new police unacceptable for<br />

members of the Catholic community.<br />

The debate during those months<br />

indicated that policing was in many<br />

respects to become the more farreaching<br />

and important issue: unlike<br />

decommissioning, reform of the police<br />

force would not only deal with the<br />

impending remnants of the past but<br />

would be about a whole new definition<br />

of security—concept and structure—<br />

for the province. Thus another even<br />

more complex field of counting the<br />

other side’s gains and losses had now<br />

been opened. This was the time when a<br />

shift in negotiation strategies was<br />

attempted in order to move the<br />

contentious security issues forward.<br />

Next to decommissioning and policing,<br />

the downsizing of state security—<br />

termed “demilitarisation” by the<br />

Republicans and “normalisation” in the<br />

Agreement—started to move into a<br />

new package deal to accommodate the<br />

interlocked, but divided, concerns<br />

about the future of security in<br />

Northern Ireland.<br />

The IRA initiative:<br />

opening arms dumps<br />

to third party<br />

inspections<br />

On 7 May 2000, a Joint Statement of<br />

the British and the Irish governments<br />

was published containing a new plan<br />

for the full implementation of the<br />

Agreement in relation to the unsettled<br />

issues and one which was to be<br />

achieved by June 2001 (see Sunday<br />

Times, 7 May 2000, for full text). In<br />

parallel, the IRA issued a statement<br />

saying:<br />

“For our part the IRA leadership is<br />

committed to resolving the issue of arms. The<br />

political responsibility for advancing the<br />

current situation rests with the two<br />

governments, especially the British government,<br />

and the leadership of the political parties. The

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