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With Speed and Violence Fred Pearce - Global Commons Institute

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escaped from western European forests <strong>and</strong> fields. This was roughly<br />

equivalent to twice Europe's emissions from burning fossil fuels during<br />

those two months. All the carbon absorbed in recent years was being<br />

dumped back into the atmosphere in double-quick time. The rapid exhaling<br />

of the continent's ecosystems was "unprecedented in the last century," said<br />

Ciais. But he judged that it was likely to be repeated "as future droughts turn<br />

temperate ecosystems from carbon sinks into carbon sources."<br />

Europe seemed to have fast-forwarded into a nightmare future strapped<br />

to a runaway greenhouse effect. And it soon emerged that Europe's carbon<br />

crisis was part of a more general story of summer stress across the Northern<br />

Hemisphere. Ning Zeng, of the University of Maryl<strong>and</strong>, found an area of<br />

drought stretching from the Mediterranean to Afghanistan. It had lasted<br />

from 1998 to 2002, <strong>and</strong> had eliminated a natural carbon sink across the<br />

region that had averaged 770 million tons a year over the previous two<br />

decades.<br />

Alon Angert, of the University of California at Berkeley, explained the big<br />

picture. Through the 1980s <strong>and</strong> into the early 1990s, the "C02 fertilization<br />

effect" had been working rather well, with increased photosynthesis in the<br />

Northern Hemisphere soaking up ever more carbon dioxide. But sometime<br />

around 1993 that had tailed off, probably because of droughts <strong>and</strong> higher<br />

temperatures. And since the mid-1990s, the carbon sink had been in sharp<br />

decline. From the Mediterranean to central Asia, <strong>and</strong> even in the high<br />

latitudes of Siberia <strong>and</strong> northern Europe, the added uptake of carbon by<br />

plants in the early spring was canceled out by the heat <strong>and</strong> water stress of<br />

hotter, drier summers. The findings, Angert said, dashed widespread<br />

expectations of a continuing "greening trend" in which warm summers

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