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With Speed and Violence Fred Pearce - Global Commons Institute

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greater the consensus, the worse the conspiracy. The maverick climatologist<br />

Pat Michaels, of the University of Virginia in Charlottesville, says we are<br />

faced with what the philosopher of science Thomas Kuhn called a "paradigm<br />

problem." Michaels, who is also the state meteorologist for Virginia, one of<br />

the United States' largest coal producers, <strong>and</strong> a consultant to numerous<br />

fossil fuel companies, says: "Most scientists spend their lives working to<br />

shore up the reigning world view—the dominant paradigm—<strong>and</strong> those who<br />

disagree are always much fewer in number." The drive to conformity, he says,<br />

is accentuated by peer review, which ensures that only papers in support of<br />

the paradigm appear in the research literature, <strong>and</strong> by public funding of<br />

research into the prevailing "paradigm of doom."<br />

Even if you accept this cynical view of how science is done, it doesn't mean<br />

that the orthodoxy is always wrong. The fact that scientists universally agree<br />

that the world is round does not make it flat. Many of the same claims that<br />

are now made against the global warming "paradigm" were once made about<br />

the "AIDS industry" by people who disputed that HIV caused AIDS. Some<br />

governments took their side for a long time, <strong>and</strong> their citizens are now living<br />

with the consequences. Where are those skeptics now? Some of them can be<br />

heard making the case against climate change.<br />

But all that said, I do think the skeptics are important to the arguments<br />

about climate science. The desire for consensus is always likely to lead the<br />

mainstream scientific community to don blinkers. This has not only blotted<br />

out the arguments of skeptics but also sidelined results from the h<strong>and</strong>ful of<br />

"rogue" climate models that keep turning up tipping points that could<br />

tumble the world into much worse shape than what is currently predicted by<br />

the mainstream. One scientist told me in the corridors of a conference in

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