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With Speed and Violence Fred Pearce - Global Commons Institute

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Cambridge in 1984 to finish his paper titled "Large Losses of Total Ozone in<br />

Antarctica." He posted it to Nature on Christmas Eve.<br />

The editors didn't quite share Farman's sense of urgency. It took them<br />

three months to accept his paper, <strong>and</strong> another two months to publish it.<br />

When the paper finally appeared, NASA scientists were confused. They still<br />

had no inkling of anything amiss over Antarctica. But they could hardly<br />

ignore the findings of two Dobson meters, however ancient. They<br />

re-examined the raw data from their satellite instruments <strong>and</strong> were shocked<br />

to find that their satellites had seen the ozone hole forming <strong>and</strong> growing over<br />

Antarctica all along, even before Farman had spotted it. But the computers<br />

on the ground that were analyzing the streams of data had been<br />

programmed to throw out any wildly abnormal readings. And the data<br />

showing the ozone hole had certainly fitted that category. The episode, as<br />

Farman was not slow to point out, was a salutary lesson for high-tech science.<br />

It was also a triumph for the string-<strong>and</strong>-sealing-wax school, <strong>and</strong> for the<br />

dogged collection of seemingly boring <strong>and</strong> useless data about the<br />

environment.<br />

Paul Crutzen—who had unraveled much of the complex chemistry of the<br />

ozone layer—swiftly tied Farman's findings to specific chemical reactions<br />

involving CFCs that took place only in the uniquely cold air over Antarctica<br />

each spring. Below about -130°F, unique clouds form in the stratosphere<br />

above Antarctica. These are called polar stratospheric clouds. It turned out<br />

that the runaway reactions happened only on the surface of the frozen<br />

particles in these clouds. The reactions required both the cold to create the<br />

clouds <strong>and</strong> solar energy to fuel them. And there was a window of a few weeks<br />

when both were supplied—after the sun had risen, but before the air warmed

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