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With Speed and Violence Fred Pearce - Global Commons Institute

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These findings alone should be enough to establish for even the most<br />

diehard skeptic that man-made greenhouse gas emissions are making the<br />

atmosphere warmer. Climate models developed by the U.S. government's<br />

space agency, NASA, estimate that Earth is now absorbing nearly one watt<br />

more than it releases per 10.8 square feet of its surface. This is a significant<br />

amount. You could run a 60-watt light bulb off the excess energy supplied to<br />

the area of the planet that a modest house occupies.<br />

More contentious is whether we can actually feel the heat. Direct<br />

planet-wide temperature records go back 150 years. They suggest that<br />

nineteen of the twenty warmest years have occurred since 1980, <strong>and</strong> that the<br />

five warmest years have all been since 1998. Could the thermometers be<br />

misleading us? That has to be a possibility. The records, after all, are not a<br />

formal planetary monitoring system; they are just a collection of all the data<br />

that happen to be available.<br />

Two important criticisms are made. One is that satellite sensors <strong>and</strong><br />

instruments carried into the atmosphere aboard weather balloons do not<br />

back up the surface thermometers. The instrument data suggest that if air<br />

close to the surface is warming, that warming is not spreading through the<br />

bottom 6 miles of the atmosphere, known as the troposphere, in the way that<br />

climate scientists predict. If true, this is very worrying, says Steve Sherwood,<br />

a meteorologist at Yale University <strong>and</strong> author of a study of the problem: "It<br />

would spell trouble for our whole underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the atmosphere."<br />

Not surprisingly, skeptics have given great play to the suggestion that<br />

satellites "prove" the surface thermometers to be at fault. Not so fast, says<br />

Sherwood. The satellite data are untrustworthy, because they measure the<br />

temperature in the air column beneath a satellite <strong>and</strong> cannot easily

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