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Final Report on RREF 2001 - Department of Health

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Part B: Development <strong>of</strong> Opti<strong>on</strong>s for a Revised <strong>RREF</strong><br />

Measurement and apporti<strong>on</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> shortfall to LGAs:<br />

• Almost half the LGAs had an excess <strong>of</strong> residential care places, 32 out <strong>of</strong> 78,<br />

and <strong>on</strong>ly 13 had a shortfall in excess <strong>of</strong> 20 per 1000. This skewed<br />

distributi<strong>on</strong> and whether to take the shortfall into account as a ratio per<br />

1000 populati<strong>on</strong> aged 70 and over, or as an absolute number, posed<br />

problems for scaling as a need variable.<br />

• There were also difficulties in measuring the shortfall as the difference<br />

between operati<strong>on</strong>al beds and the target ratio at any <strong>on</strong>e time, given a<br />

c<strong>on</strong>siderable degree <strong>of</strong> flux in the sector at present. With a large number <strong>of</strong><br />

approvals in principal in existence, the rate at which AIPs come <strong>on</strong> stream<br />

is critical, but is not known with any certainty and when blocks <strong>of</strong> around<br />

30 beds come <strong>on</strong> stream at a time, the impact <strong>on</strong> the shortfall is marked, and<br />

occurs in a short time.<br />

• The shortfall is extremely uneven geographically, with some LGAs having<br />

persisting shortfalls while others have beds in excess <strong>of</strong> the ratio. While no<br />

penalty would be imposed for excess beds, <strong>on</strong>ly a small number <strong>of</strong> LGAs<br />

would receive a medium to high weighting <strong>on</strong> this need variable and so it<br />

make <strong>on</strong>ly a small c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to overall need weighting.<br />

• Difficulties were encountered in obtaining timely data <strong>on</strong> actual operati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

beds from the Comm<strong>on</strong>wealth for comparis<strong>on</strong> with the target numbers.<br />

Impact <strong>of</strong> shortfall <strong>on</strong> HACC<br />

• A detailed analysis was made <strong>of</strong> several factors related to how the<br />

residential care shortfall affected the need for HACC services and how this<br />

variable should be included in the <strong>RREF</strong>. These factors included whether<br />

high and low care should be separated; whether CACPs should be included:<br />

the distributi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> the shortfall across LGAs; whether shortfalls in some<br />

LGAs were balanced by excess provisi<strong>on</strong> in adjacent LGAs; and difficulties<br />

in projecting <strong>on</strong> the basis <strong>of</strong> existing shortfalls as approved beds coming<br />

into operati<strong>on</strong> in the next five years will be c<strong>on</strong>centrated in areas <strong>of</strong> greatest<br />

shortfall.<br />

• While the shortfall <strong>of</strong> beds has a pr<strong>on</strong>ounced impact in the LGAs<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cerned, it is evident that excess beds in some LGAs may balance<br />

shortfalls in some adjoining LGAs, but not in all cases, but this effect<br />

cannot be readily taken into account. “Excess” beds arise mostly in LGAs<br />

where public sector facilities are located, and these facilities have regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

roles. Averaging levels <strong>of</strong> provisi<strong>on</strong> across groups <strong>of</strong> LGAs or regi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

would reduce local deficits and even out provisi<strong>on</strong> across the regi<strong>on</strong>, but it<br />

is difficult to apporti<strong>on</strong> “excess” places across regi<strong>on</strong>s in accord with actual<br />

use.<br />

• The shortfall is taken into account in the base populati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s that adjust<br />

for the frail aged. Base 3 especially makes a significant adjustment by<br />

doubling the moderately, severely and pr<strong>of</strong>oundly handicapped living in the<br />

community, hence LGAs with more frail aged people in the community due<br />

to a shortfall <strong>of</strong> residential care places gain most. The base populati<strong>on</strong>s also<br />

make these adjustments <strong>on</strong> the basis <strong>of</strong> the LGA in which the individual<br />

actually resides.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Final</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g> July <strong>2001</strong> 29

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