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Institute for Sanitary Engineering, Water Quality and Solid Waste ...

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Chair of <strong>Waste</strong> Management <strong>and</strong> Emissions<br />

The results indicated the presence of the biological<br />

waste in a high percentage, as well as a high quantity<br />

of plastics, paper <strong>and</strong> glass, there<strong>for</strong>e a considerable<br />

potential <strong>for</strong> material <strong>and</strong> energy recovery.<br />

Financed:<br />

Umweltministerium Baden-Württemberg<br />

Project partners:<br />

Universität Stuttgart, Institut für Siedlungswasserbau,<br />

Wassergüte- und Abfallwirtschaft - Lehrstuhl<br />

für Abfallwirtschaft und Abluft; Universitatea Politehnica<br />

„Timisoara“, Facultatea de Hidrotehnica;<br />

Agentia Nationala de Protectie a Mediului; Retim<br />

Ecologic Service SA; Goscom Vaslui SA<br />

Duration:<br />

2008-2009<br />

Contact:<br />

Prof. Dr.-Ing. Martin Kranert<br />

Dr.-Ing. Klaus Fischer<br />

Dipl.-Ing., M.Sc. Mihaela Berechet<br />

Dipl.-Ing. Oliver Schiere<br />

FORWAST: Project full title: Overall mapping of<br />

physical flows <strong>and</strong> stocks of resources to <strong>for</strong>ecast<br />

waste quantities in Europe <strong>and</strong> identify lifecycle<br />

environmental stakes of waste prevention<br />

<strong>and</strong> recycling.<br />

Project summary:<br />

The FORWAST project intends to provide:<br />

• an inventory of the historically cumulated physical<br />

stock of materials in EU-27 (EU-25 plus Romania<br />

<strong>and</strong> Bulgaria), <strong>and</strong> to <strong>for</strong>ecast the expected<br />

amounts of waste generated, per resource category,<br />

in the next 25 years.<br />

• an assessment of the life-cycle wide environmental<br />

impacts from different scenarios of waste prevention,<br />

recycling <strong>and</strong> waste treatment in the EU-<br />

27.<br />

The work programme is designed to favour the synergy<br />

between these objectives, by applying a generic model<br />

<strong>for</strong> material flows, stocks <strong>and</strong> emissions. The proposed<br />

model is an environmentally extended, physical,<br />

quasi-dynamic input-output model. This model combined<br />

with a robust method of Material Flow Analysis<br />

will guide the mining of new data, which is the main<br />

focus of the project. It will take place as a combination<br />

of “in-depth” studies in selected countries where highquality<br />

statistics are available, <strong>and</strong> an EU-wide ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />

consolidating <strong>and</strong> calibrating different statistical <strong>and</strong><br />

technical data sources.<br />

The model will be applied to historical time series of<br />

resource inflows into the economy, <strong>and</strong> calibrated to<br />

known quantities of waste generation, the core question<br />

being to estimate coefficients <strong>for</strong> stocks life time<br />

<strong>for</strong> the different materials (s<strong>and</strong>/gravel, wood, metals,<br />

paper, etc.) <strong>and</strong> interpret dynamically the causes of<br />

the variation of stocks (accumulation versus waste generation<br />

or dispersive losses).<br />

The policy relevance of the project will be strengthened<br />

by the definition of 25 years horizon scenarios of<br />

waste generation combined with technological options<br />

<strong>for</strong> waste prevention <strong>and</strong> recycling. The waste with the<br />

higher stakes to reduce environmental pressures will<br />

be assessed trough simulations.<br />

It is expected that the FORWAST project will bring a<br />

new insight into Life Cycle Thinking, <strong>and</strong> above all,<br />

more confidence in the use of environmental indicators<br />

in natural resources <strong>and</strong> waste management policies.<br />

Project objective(s):<br />

The FORWAST project intends to provide comprehensive<br />

<strong>and</strong> validated data on the material flows, stocks<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental pressures coming from the different<br />

sectors of the life cycle of resources to waste.<br />

In the wider context of sustainable development <strong>and</strong><br />

environment protection, the connections between the<br />

use of natural resources, their accumulation in economy<br />

<strong>and</strong> waste generation <strong>and</strong> management need to be<br />

more clearly understood. <strong>Waste</strong> management policies<br />

may affect potentially all sectors. Their influence on<br />

the use of natural resources must also account <strong>for</strong> the<br />

potential recovery of these resources from stocks, the<br />

technical <strong>and</strong> economical constraints of recycling, the<br />

side effects on the by-products associated with natural<br />

resources, <strong>and</strong> at the end, the global balance of the<br />

environmental costs <strong>and</strong> benefits.<br />

The current uncertainties on the environmental stakes<br />

of waste policies are pre-dominantly due to a lack of<br />

real physical data on the quantities <strong>and</strong> qualities of<br />

flows of resources, either natural or coming from waste<br />

recovery. Particularly important <strong>for</strong> the latter is to<br />

account <strong>for</strong> the actual stocks of these resources that<br />

will end-up in the waste flows in the future.<br />

The objectives of the proposed FORWAST project are<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e to:<br />

• Provide an inventory of the historically cumulated<br />

physical stock of materials in EU-27 (EU-25 plus<br />

Romania <strong>and</strong> Bulgaria), <strong>and</strong> to <strong>for</strong>ecast the expected<br />

amounts of waste generated, per resource<br />

category, in the next 25 years.<br />

• Provide an assessment of the life-cycle wide environmental<br />

impacts from different scenarios of<br />

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