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Surrogacy Case Study: Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA ... - Isped

Surrogacy Case Study: Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA ... - Isped

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<strong>PSA</strong> response or <strong>PSA</strong>-V<br />

surrogate for survival in HRPC?<br />

• Meta-analytic validation in 2 studies of liarozole versus<br />

CPA/FLU (1)<br />

• <strong>PSA</strong> response (50% decline) not a surrogate for OS<br />

• SWOG-9916: Docetaxel+Estramustine vs M+P (2)<br />

• <strong>PSA</strong> response (first 3 m) not a surrogate for OS<br />

• <strong>PSA</strong> velocity (first 3 m) is a surrogate for OS by Prentice<br />

criteria and should be further investigated<br />

• Tax 327: Docetaxel(D)(q1s)+Prednisone(P) vs D(q3s)+P vs<br />

Mitoxantrone(M)+P (3)<br />

• <strong>PSA</strong> response (50% decline from entry) not validated as<br />

surrogate for OS<br />

• Other changes in <strong>PSA</strong> or <strong>PSA</strong> kinetics are weaker<br />

surrogates<br />

1. Buyse M. et al In Biomarkers in Clinical Drug Development. Springer-Verlag, 2003<br />

2. Crawford et al. ASCO 2004, abs. 4505, Petrylak DP. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006.<br />

3. Roessner M et al. ASCO 2005, abs. 391s.; Armstrong AJ et al. JCO 2007

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