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Surrogacy Case Study: Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA ... - Isped

Surrogacy Case Study: Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA ... - Isped

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Proposed strategy for preparing the use of a marker<br />

in phase II<br />

• Solid preclinical and clinical data are needed about the<br />

drug’s effect on <strong>PSA</strong>, it’s shape, it’s timing (remember<br />

Calcitriol, APC 8501, Suramin..)<br />

• Neo-adjuvant studies are required to document<br />

• The effect of the new drug (alone or in the intended<br />

combination) on the marker<br />

• Correlation between changes in the marker and observed<br />

changes on the tumor<br />

• Without such information, even phase II trials with a markerbased<br />

endpoint, be it response or PFS, are a very risky<br />

gamble<br />

• New guidelines (PCWG2, JCO 08) move away from the <strong>PSA</strong><br />

response endpoint<br />

• Research is being done to make bone metastases changes<br />

measurable to use them as phase II endpoint

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