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Report of Research, Field Investigation and Survey of Robert D ...

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Values are given monthly, <strong>and</strong> for purposes <strong>of</strong> continuity I have assumed the most likely<br />

interpretation <strong>of</strong> the ‘annual average elevation’ to be during June <strong>of</strong> the year, once the spring<br />

freshet has passed. At Paragraph 5.1, I indicated 4 years for which elevations would be <strong>of</strong><br />

interest. Of these, 1823 pre-dates the NOAA data, <strong>and</strong> I have relied on the elevation determined<br />

by D. Lambden. The remaining elevations are taken from the NOAA document <strong>and</strong> corrected to<br />

CGVD28, since this is the datum provided by our GPS observations, as discussed at paragraph<br />

5.3. Since Collingwood is located 26km from, <strong>and</strong> directly across Nottawasaga Bay from the<br />

project area, I used the IGLD1985 to CGVD28 correction <strong>of</strong> 0.052m for Collingwood. As noted<br />

in the Stewart Table, IGLD1985 - correction = CGVD28.<br />

Average Elevations for Critical Years in Chronology <strong>of</strong> Wimblewood Beach<br />

Year Water Elevation (IGLD1985) Water Elevation (CGVD28)<br />

1823 175.9 175.85<br />

1891 176.73 176.68<br />

1920 176.70 176.65<br />

1929 177.13 177.08<br />

6.5.5 Historical Lake Huron Water Level Data produced by Canadian Hydrographic Service<br />

(CHS) (Tab 43)<br />

This document is similar to the NOAA document above, but from a Canadian source.<br />

Unfortunately, these records only go back as far as 1918. As with the NOAA records, elevations<br />

are referred to IGLD1985. The values are monthly means for Lakes Michigan <strong>and</strong> Huron, <strong>and</strong><br />

are the average <strong>of</strong> readings from gauging stations located at Thessalon, Tobermory, Milwaukee,<br />

Ludington, Mackinaw City <strong>and</strong> Harbour Beach. For comparison <strong>and</strong> validation <strong>of</strong> the NOAA<br />

elevations, the CHS elevations for June, 1920 is 176.73 <strong>and</strong> for June, 1929 is 177.15. These<br />

values agree within a worst case <strong>of</strong> 0.03m, which I would consider well within ‘background<br />

noise’ for all <strong>of</strong> the other factors, such as storm surge.<br />

Page 63 <strong>of</strong> 66

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