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Accommodating High Levels of Variable Generation - NERC

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Transmission Planning & Resource Adequacy<br />

60,000<br />

Figure Figure 3.1 4: Projected Increase in Summer Wind<br />

Nameplate/Installed Capacity<br />

50,000<br />

MW<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

2008<br />

2017<br />

ERCOT FRCC MRO NPCC RFC SERC SPP WECC<br />

Existing Planned Proposed<br />

Additional transmission infrastructure is therefore vital to reliably accommodating large amounts<br />

<strong>of</strong> wind resources, specifically in order to:<br />

1. Interconnect variable energy resources planned in remote regions;<br />

2. Smooth the variable generation output across a broad geographical region and resource<br />

portfolio; and<br />

3. Deliver ramping capability and ancillary services from inside and outside a Balancing<br />

Area to equalize supply and demand.<br />

<strong>High</strong> levels <strong>of</strong> variable generation will require significant transmission additions and<br />

reinforcements to maintain bulk power system reliability. 49 The Joint-Coordinated System Plan,<br />

released in February 2008, for example, suggests that 15,000 miles <strong>of</strong> new transmission lines at a<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> $80 billion will be needed to meet a 20% wind energy scenario in the Eastern<br />

Interconnection. State, provincial, and federal government agencies should consider and factor<br />

the impact <strong>of</strong> variable generation integration on inter-state and international bulk power system<br />

reliability into their evaluations. These entities are encouraged to work together to remove<br />

49 See http://www.20percentwind.org/, http://www.JCSPstudy.org, and<br />

http://www.aeso.ca/downloads/Southern_Alberta_NID_DEC15_POSTED.pdf, for more background<br />

<strong>Accommodating</strong> <strong>High</strong> <strong>Levels</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Variable</strong> <strong>Generation</strong> 35

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