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Accommodating High Levels of Variable Generation - NERC

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Transmission Planning & Resource Adequacy<br />

other weather-dependent energy sources, such as hydro, as their mutual weather dependence<br />

could result in correlated decline or increase in output across multiple resource groups for certain<br />

weather patterns. For example, if seasonal weather patterns are shown to result in both dry (lowhydro)<br />

and low-wind conditions (low-wind), planning scenarios should consider simultaneous<br />

low production levels from the affected resources. Similarly, if wet seasonal conditions are<br />

shown to occur with high wind conditions, seasonal planning scenarios should consider<br />

simultaneous high wind and hydro production.<br />

3.3. Transmission Planning<br />

Transmission planning processes to integrate large amounts <strong>of</strong> variable generation rely on a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> factors, including:<br />

• Whether government renewable policies or mandates exist;<br />

• Level <strong>of</strong> variable generation mandated and available variable generation in remote<br />

locations;<br />

• Time horizon across which capital investments in variable generation are to be made; and<br />

• Geographic footprint across which the investments occur.<br />

At low variable generation penetration levels, traditional approaches towards sequential<br />

expansion <strong>of</strong> the transmission network and managing wind variability in Balancing areas may be<br />

satisfactory. However, at higher penetration levels, a regional and multi-objective perspective<br />

for transmission planning identifying concentrated variable generation zones, such as those being<br />

developed in ERCOT’s Competitive Renewable Energy Zone (CREZ) process, California’s<br />

Renewable Energy Transmission Initiative (RETI) and the Midwest Independent System<br />

Operator’s Joint Coordinated System Planning Study, 59 may be necessary.<br />

Within a balancing area, as the level <strong>of</strong> variable generation increases, the variability when<br />

coupled with extreme events may not be manageable with the existing conventional generation<br />

resources within the balancing area alone. Furthermore, base load generation might have to be<br />

heavily cycled for the local generation to follow the sum <strong>of</strong> load and variable generation<br />

variations, posing reliability concerns as well as economic consequences. If there is sufficient<br />

bulk power transmission, this situation can be managed by obtaining ancillary services and<br />

flexible resources from a larger generation base, such as through participation in wider-area<br />

balancing management or balancing area consolidation (see Chapter 4). Transmission planning<br />

and operations techniques, including economic inter-area planning methods, should be used for<br />

59 www.jcspstudy.org<br />

<strong>Accommodating</strong> <strong>High</strong> <strong>Levels</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Variable</strong> <strong>Generation</strong> 42

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