Crisman Annual Report 2009 - Harold Vance Department of ...
Crisman Annual Report 2009 - Harold Vance Department of ...
Crisman Annual Report 2009 - Harold Vance Department of ...
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P90<br />
P50<br />
P10<br />
Fig. 3. P10, P50 and P90 predictions <strong>of</strong> water production for horizontal<br />
wells drilled in the Parker County <strong>of</strong> the Barnett Shale.<br />
developed to predict average water production for<br />
Barnett Shale wells in Denton and Parker Counties<br />
(Fig. 3). The average prediction error for the tool<br />
varied between 10-26%, depending on well type<br />
and location.<br />
Significance<br />
Results from this work can be utilized to mitigate<br />
risk <strong>of</strong> water problems in new Barnett Shale wells<br />
and predict water issues in other shale plays.<br />
Engineers are provided a tool to predict potential<br />
for water production in new wells. The methodology<br />
used to develop this tool can be used to solve similar<br />
challenges in new and existing shale plays.<br />
26<br />
<strong>Crisman</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2009</strong>