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Chapter 2. Progress towards the EFA goals - Unesco

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PROGRESS TOWARDS THE <strong>EFA</strong> GOALS<br />

Universal primary education<br />

Figure <strong>2.</strong>13: Left behind: out-of-school girls are less likely<br />

ever to get into school<br />

% of out-of-school children who are expected never to enrol,<br />

by gender, selected countries, 2007<br />

Figure <strong>2.</strong>14: Poor and rural children have much less chance of going to school<br />

in Burkina Faso and Ethiopia<br />

School exposure of out-of-school children by location and wealth, Burkina Faso (2003)<br />

and Ethiopia (2005)<br />

Mali<br />

Niger<br />

Senegal<br />

Burkina Faso<br />

Turkey<br />

Yemen<br />

Ghana<br />

Pakistan<br />

Ethiopia<br />

Bangladesh<br />

India<br />

Nepal<br />

South Africa<br />

Kenya<br />

100<br />

Burkina Faso<br />

100<br />

Ethiopia<br />

% of primary school age children<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

In school<br />

Expected<br />

to enter late<br />

Enrolled but<br />

dropped out<br />

Expected<br />

never to enrol<br />

% of primary school age children<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

0<br />

Rural<br />

Urban<br />

0<br />

Poorest 20% Richest 20%<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

% of out-of-school children expected never to enrol<br />

Source: Bruneforth (2009b).<br />

Notes: Countries included had more than 500,000 children out of school in 2007.<br />

Source: Bruneforth (2009b).<br />

urban children to be out of school – and those not<br />

in classrooms are over four times less likely ever<br />

to go to school. These disparities reflect some of<br />

<strong>the</strong> distinctive problems facing rural communities,<br />

including distance to school, poverty and gender<br />

disadvantages.<br />

Poverty strongly influences prospects for school<br />

entry. Children from <strong>the</strong> poorest 20% of households<br />

dominate <strong>the</strong> out-of-school populations in many<br />

countries and are far less likely than higher-income<br />

children ever to enrol. To take one example, around<br />

three-quarters of children from <strong>the</strong> poorest 20% of<br />

households in Ethiopia are not in school. Of <strong>the</strong>se,<br />

over half are not expected to enter school<br />

(Figure <strong>2.</strong>14). The heightened risk of never going<br />

to school associated with low household wealth<br />

underlines <strong>the</strong> importance of public policies to<br />

ensure that poverty does not automatically lead<br />

to educational disadvantage.<br />

Enrolment of school age children<br />

moving too slowly<br />

Getting children into school is just one of <strong>the</strong><br />

stepping stones <strong>towards</strong> universal primary<br />

education. As many children will drop out before<br />

completing <strong>the</strong> primary cycle as are currently out<br />

of school. The critical challenge is not just getting<br />

children into school but ensuring that, once <strong>the</strong>re,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y complete a good-quality education.<br />

Universal primary education is easily identified<br />

after <strong>the</strong> event. It exists when almost all primary<br />

school age children graduate at roughly <strong>the</strong> official<br />

age. Measuring progress <strong>towards</strong> this goal is<br />

more challenging. No single indicator provides<br />

<strong>the</strong> complete picture, but a combination of<br />

measures can help cast light on different parts<br />

of a complicated picture. Overall, <strong>the</strong>re is clear<br />

evidence that school enrolment and completion<br />

are increasing across <strong>the</strong> world, but a narrow<br />

focus on certain indicators may be leading to an<br />

underestimation of <strong>the</strong> distance still to be travelled<br />

to achieve universal primary education.<br />

Net enrolment ratios have been rising<br />

in <strong>the</strong> developing world<br />

One commonly used indicator, <strong>the</strong> net enrolment<br />

ratio, measures <strong>the</strong> proportion of students in <strong>the</strong><br />

official primary school age group who are enrolled<br />

in school. In a system that has achieved universal<br />

primary education, <strong>the</strong> vast majority of children in<br />

<strong>the</strong> official age group will be in primary school.<br />

Universal net enrolment, widely used as a measure<br />

of progress <strong>towards</strong> Goal 2, is a necessary but not<br />

sufficient condition for universal primary<br />

completion. Countries with a net enrolment ratio<br />

close to 100% have most of <strong>the</strong>ir primary school<br />

age children in <strong>the</strong> school system, but <strong>the</strong> measure<br />

does not indicate where children are in <strong>the</strong> cycle.<br />

Some children may have dropped out and returned<br />

to early grades, while o<strong>the</strong>rs may be repeating<br />

grades having failed school tests.<br />

The critical<br />

challenge is<br />

to ensure all<br />

children complete<br />

a good-quality<br />

education<br />

61

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