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Chapter 2. Progress towards the EFA goals - Unesco

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PROGRESS TOWARDS THE <strong>EFA</strong> GOALS<br />

Estimating <strong>the</strong> cost of achieving Education for All<br />

through increased participation and improved<br />

quality of education at <strong>the</strong> primary level, with<br />

literate school leavers driving down illiteracy<br />

rates. The residual element, representing about<br />

42% of <strong>the</strong> necessary decline, is assumed to<br />

occur through adult literacy programmes.<br />

An assumption underpinning <strong>the</strong> estimates<br />

presented in this Report is that education is<br />

provided at <strong>the</strong>se levels without fees. This is<br />

consistent with <strong>the</strong> Dakar Framework for Action.<br />

However, in many countries, particularly those<br />

recently involved in conflict, this would represent<br />

a substantial shift in <strong>the</strong> burden of education<br />

costs from households to <strong>the</strong> state (see Box <strong>2.</strong>27).<br />

Setting targets for <strong>the</strong> cost parameters<br />

The second step in <strong>the</strong> exercise is to develop<br />

targets for key parameters using country-level<br />

information on costs. Recurrent costs per capita<br />

and capital costs in education vary across and<br />

within regions, with significant implications for<br />

global cost estimates. Two factors account for<br />

most of <strong>the</strong> variation. First, differences in average<br />

efficiency associated with prices for important<br />

inputs – such as teacher wages, building materials<br />

and textbooks – inevitably influence cost structures.<br />

Second, countries have different norms and rules<br />

on teacher remuneration, pupil/teacher ratios,<br />

school construction and o<strong>the</strong>r inputs. Table <strong>2.</strong>9<br />

summarizes targets for <strong>the</strong> core cost parameters<br />

used in <strong>the</strong> estimates.<br />

In setting <strong>the</strong> parameters, several difficult<br />

financing questions were considered. Teacher<br />

remuneration is one of <strong>the</strong> most significant and<br />

controversial areas in any costing exercise for<br />

education. This is typically <strong>the</strong> single biggest<br />

component in <strong>the</strong> education budgets of low-income<br />

countries, often accounting for three-quarters of<br />

total spending. It follows that technical efficiency<br />

gains can dramatically reduce costs: adjusting<br />

salaries in sub-Saharan Africa to levels found in<br />

South and West Asia would cut average costs<br />

by 40%. However, <strong>the</strong> issues at stake go<br />

beyond considerations of technical efficiency.<br />

Table <strong>2.</strong>9: 2015 targets for main cost parameters<br />

Cost drivers<br />

Teacher salaries<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

Pupil teacher ratio<br />

Parameters Pre-primary<br />

Primary Lower secondary<br />

Percentage of non-salary costs in recurrent spending<br />

School building and rehabilitation 1<br />

4.5 times GDP per capita<br />

3 times GDP per capita<br />

20<br />

33%<br />

$ 13,500 per classroom<br />

4.5 times GDP per capita<br />

3 times GDP per capita<br />

40<br />

33%<br />

$ 13,500 per classroom<br />

6 times GDP per capita<br />

3.5 times GDP per capita<br />

35<br />

40%<br />

$ 17,000 per classroom<br />

Teacher salaries<br />

are typically <strong>the</strong><br />

single biggest<br />

component in <strong>the</strong><br />

education budgets<br />

of low-income<br />

countries<br />

Share of private enrolment<br />

Maintain current levels<br />

10%<br />

10%<br />

School rehabilitation (% of classroom to be replaced)<br />

Low income countries<br />

Conflict affected countries<br />

25%<br />

50%<br />

25%<br />

50%<br />

25%<br />

50%<br />

Targeted programmes for <strong>the</strong> marginalized<br />

Demand side interventions (e.g. conditional cash transfer<br />

programmes, school feeding programmes)<br />

—<br />

5% of GDP per capita<br />

per marginalized student<br />

7.5% of GDP per capita<br />

per marginalized student<br />

Supply side interventions (e.g. incentives for qualified<br />

teachers to work in remote areas, increased resources<br />

for schools serving marginalized groups)<br />

—<br />

Additional 33% of per<br />

pupil recurrent costs per<br />

marginalized student<br />

Additional 33% of per<br />

pupil recurrent costs per<br />

marginalized student<br />

Effect on per-pupil recurrent costs (constant 2007 US$)<br />

Estimated current unit costs<br />

106<br />

68<br />

119<br />

Per-pupil costs in 2015 with additional policy measures<br />

102<br />

125<br />

162<br />

Notes: Per-pupil costs for 2015 do not include additional costs of demand-side and supply-side interventions for reaching <strong>the</strong> marginalized.<br />

1. Includes maintenance, estimated at 2% of construction cost. Classroom construction and rehabilitation include <strong>the</strong> cost of building school infrastructure<br />

(including latrines, offices, water supply, etc.) and providing access for children with disabilities.<br />

Source: EPDC and UNESCO (2009).<br />

123

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