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NHMRC Glaucoma Guidelines - ANZGIG

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<strong>NHMRC</strong> GUIDELINES FOR THE SCREENING, PROGNOSIS, DIAGNOSIS, MANAGEMENT AND PREVENTION OF GLAUCOMA<br />

Chapter 5 – Prognosis: understanding the natural history<br />

The Collaborative Normal Tension <strong>Glaucoma</strong> Study (1998) identified a 10-fold range in deterioration<br />

rates in VF from -0.2dB/year to -2.0 dB/year, illustrating the marked variability in natural rates<br />

of deterioration in NTG. This variability prevents prediction of individual rates of VF loss.<br />

These guidelines provide recommendations for a standard process for monitoring in Chapter 8.<br />

Evidence Statements<br />

• Evidence strongly supports reducing intraocular pressure in patients with normal tension glaucoma, in<br />

order to preserve the visual field and reduce glaucomatous progression rates.<br />

• Evidence strongly supports monitoring rates of visual field loss in patients with normal tension glaucoma.<br />

Communication with patients<br />

While lowering intraocular pressure slows or halts glaucoma progression, all interventions carry<br />

risk. Potential benefit and possible harm (the therapeutic index) need to be balanced carefully,<br />

with patient involvement where possible, in decision making.<br />

Ocular hypertension<br />

The majority of patients with OH will not progress to POAG in the short term (90% will not convert<br />

within five years) (Burr, Mowatt, Herandez et al 2007). Within five years however, 9.5% of untreated<br />

patients will progress to POAG, compared to 4.4% of medically treated patients (Burr et al 2007).<br />

Patients with an initial intraocular pressure (IOP) of 26mmHg or more are more at-risk of<br />

progressing to glaucoma. Conversion time to POAG from OH is significantly shorter for individuals<br />

not undergoing treatment (Fleming, Whitlock, Beil et al 2005).<br />

It is reported that 37% of optic nerve fibres need to be lost before a field defect can be identified<br />

on VF testing (Kerrigan, Zack, Quigley et al 1997; Quigley, Nickells, Kerrigan et al 1995).<br />

Therefore undetected progression may be occurring in untreated individuals because current<br />

standard automated perimetry is insufficiently sensitive to detect functional loss at this stage of<br />

disease. This highlights the need for using the most sensitive methods of VF testing and structural<br />

assessments for patients with OH.<br />

Risk factors for progression to glaucoma include elevated IOP, increased cup:disc ratio, older<br />

age, and thinner corneas (Friedman, Wilson, Liebmann et al 2004). There is also strong evidence<br />

that central corneal thickness (CCT) is a reliable indicator for the risk of conversion from OH<br />

to glaucoma.<br />

The strongest evidence links the likelihood of conversion to poorly controlled and high IOP. In the<br />

Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study (Gordon, Beiser, Brandt et al 2002; Gordon, Torri, Miglior et<br />

al 2007; Kass, Huerer, Higginbotham et al 2002), univariate and multivariate analyses identified that<br />

every 1mmHg increase in mean IOP level was associated with a 10% increased risk of conversion<br />

from OH to glaucoma. These guidelines provide recommendations for a standard format for<br />

assessing risk (see Chapter 6) and monitoring (see Chapter 8).<br />

40 National Health and Medical Research Council

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