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CIB W116—Smart and Sustainable Built Environments - Test Input

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Figure 1: Forecasted population increase to 2031 (ONS 2007)<br />

1.1.2 Change in household culture<br />

The second main driver for the dem<strong>and</strong> is a change in household culture. The U.K. ONS report that<br />

in 2006 13% of Engl<strong>and</strong>’s population lived alone <strong>and</strong> that this number was to increase at a rate of<br />

163,000 households per annum equating to two thirds of the total increase by 2031; increasing single<br />

household occupancy to 18% (Household Projects 2009). In 2007 the UK government report that<br />

housing stock was growing at 185,000 units a year with expected growth of 223,000 due to people<br />

living alone (Homes for the Future 2007). The combined effect means the construction of millions of<br />

homes.<br />

1.2 Housing stock <strong>and</strong> new build targets<br />

In 2005 the government acknowledged a need for major growth increasing housing supply in Engl<strong>and</strong><br />

from 21.5 million homes to between 2.8 <strong>and</strong> 3.8 million by 2016, <strong>and</strong> a further 4.9 to 5.9 million by<br />

2031 (A Sustainability Impact Study 2005). In the 2007 central government green paper ‘Homes for<br />

the Future’ recognised the potential shortfall in housing supply <strong>and</strong> set a new target to supply 2<br />

million homes in Engl<strong>and</strong> by 2016 at a rate of approximately 240,000 per annum (Homes for the<br />

Future 2007). Following target success the next milestone acknowledged <strong>and</strong> welcomed by the<br />

Housing <strong>and</strong> Homelessness Charity; Shelter in October 2007 was the commitment to deliver another<br />

250,000 houses per year from 2016 to 2020 amounting in total 3 million homes (Shelters Response<br />

2007).<br />

The Governments Planning Guidance Note 3 (PRG3), issued by the Secretary of State for London<br />

Planning Authorities set out objectives for housing capacity studies in regional areas (Planning Policy<br />

Guidance 2005). The subsequent London Housing Capacity Study published in 2005 calculated the<br />

total capacity from 2007 to 2017 to be 315,327 new homes in London regions. This meant the<br />

construction of 31,533 houses per year which was over <strong>and</strong> above the approximation of between<br />

25,000 <strong>and</strong> 30,000 set out in the London Plan of 2004 (London Housing 2004). The study set<br />

precedent for replica studies throughout Engl<strong>and</strong> in order to meet housing dem<strong>and</strong> (Planning Policy<br />

Guidance 2000). Following industry consultation feedback was made supplement to the London Plan<br />

133

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