Bild 1 - BALTEX

Conclusions
(sections 16 to 18)
1. Past climate variability on daily to decadal timescale
is well simulated, e.g. inflows, stagnation phases.
2. Half of the decadal variability of salinity is explained
by accumulated freshwater inflow variations. Another
significant part is caused by the low-frequency
variability of the wind.
3. Changes of freshwater inflow and wind speed long
compared to the internal response time may cause
the Baltic Sea to drift into a new steady-state with
significant lower salinity but with only slightly altered
stability and deep water ventilation. The vertical
overturning circulation is partially recovered.
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