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October 2009 - South Tahoe Public Utility District

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MDG<br />

Average Daily Effluent Flow (MGD)<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

y = -0.0918x + 188.12<br />

R 2 = 0.6957<br />

2.04 MGD<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030<br />

Figure 5.1.1 Recycled Water Flow versus Time, 1997-2028<br />

5.1.1.2 Recycled Water Flow Estimate Method 2<br />

The second method for estimating the recycled water flow quantity for the year 2028 uses<br />

recycled water inflow and discharge from Harvey Place Reservoir data provided by the <strong>District</strong>;<br />

reference Table 5.1 (page 5-31) and Figure 5.1.2 (page 5-31). The <strong>District</strong> data indicate a<br />

decreasing trend in total yearly recycled water inflow and discharge from Harvey Place<br />

Reservoir from 1997 to the beginning of 2007. Applying a trendline to the data results in a<br />

projected 2028 inflow of 1838 acre-feet per year (AF/Yr) (R-squared value=0.7658) and a<br />

discharge of 1,668 AF/Yr (R-squared value=0.4162). The R-squared value for the trendlines<br />

was compared to determine which projected value was more reliable, with the projected inflow<br />

of 1,838 AF/Yr determined to be the more reliable value. It is believed that the value for amount<br />

of recycled water discharged from Harvey Place Reservoir is more variable than the inflow due<br />

to climatic fluctuations resulting in varying evapotranspiration rates as well as other geologic<br />

and environmental factors. The 2028 projected annual inflow of 1,838 AF/Yr equates to an<br />

average daily inflow of 1.64 MGD. Using the peaking factor previously determined of 1.2, the<br />

peak month in 2028 is projected to have a maximum flow of 1.97 MGD.<br />

<strong>South</strong> <strong>Tahoe</strong> <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Utility</strong> <strong>District</strong><br />

Recycled Water Facilities Master Plan - <strong>October</strong> <strong>2009</strong> Page 5-30

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