Digital Radio for Ireland: Competing Options, Public Expectations - BCI
Digital Radio for Ireland: Competing Options, Public Expectations - BCI
Digital Radio for Ireland: Competing Options, Public Expectations - BCI
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there are now numerous alternative ways of providing radio services to listeners in digital <strong>for</strong>m. Live <br />
audio streaming via the world wide web and podcasting have become highly successful alternative <br />
means of distributing radio on the internet. Internet‐only radio stations and the development of a <br />
variety of personalised internet radio services such as Spotify or Last.fm have also provided significant <br />
challenges to traditional broadcasting. Rapid advances in mobile communications and the <br />
development of multimedia services <strong>for</strong> mobile devices likewise compete with radio as outlets <strong>for</strong> <br />
digital audio services making the market <strong>for</strong> digital radio a highly complex one. <br />
<br />
There is, as a result, strong commercial pressure on the radio industry to fully engage with digital <br />
convergence in the media marketplace. <strong>Radio</strong>, as noted in the 2006 European Commission study of <br />
the digital content industry, 18 is often overlooked when thinking about convergence and interactive <br />
media. 19 Online music distribution, by contrast, has developed into a major new industry expected to <br />
be worth €1.1bn by 2010 and three times that in the United States. The same study estimated that <br />
there are currently 15 million listeners to online radio in Europe, expected to reach 32 million listeners <br />
or 7 per cent of Europeans by 2010, and a further 11 million listeners <strong>for</strong> podcasting also by 2010. <br />
Against this, the total revenue anticipated by 2010 <strong>for</strong> all digital radio will be just 5 per cent of the <br />
overall advertising revenues <strong>for</strong> the radio sector and as a result there is major pressure on the industry <br />
to find ways to ensure it builds a higher profile in the digital content market. <br />
<br />
Mapping the future of radio <br />
In a study published in the Journal of <strong>Radio</strong> and Audio Media in 2008, 20 the DRACE research group <br />
outlined a number of different scenarios <strong>for</strong> the future of radio post‐2015. Drawing on extensive <br />
interviews with leading radio professionals and strategists across Europe, the DRACE analysis proposes <br />
four scenarios based on two parameters: the nature of distribution and the way radio services are <br />
consumed. The majority of radio experts in the study expected that future consumption would be <br />
based on free broadcast delivery but over a plurality of different plat<strong>for</strong>ms while consumption would <br />
remain in real time – the ‘Towers of Babel’ scenario. The next most likely scenario, according to the <br />
research, is "digital diversity" where a proliferation of distribution networks exist as in the previous <br />
scenario but a significant proportion of consumption has shifted to on demand or subscription. This <br />
consumption pattern would also be pronounced in the next scenario, "multimedia market", but <br />
distribution would be based on a single technology or set of complementary standards. Finally, only a <br />
minority of professionals consulted believed that radio would continue as it is today: a dominant <br />
technology standard offering linear services (the DAB DReaM’). <br />
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18 Screen Digest Ltd, CMS Hasche Sigle, et al. (2006) Interactive content and convergence: Implications <strong>for</strong> the <br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation society. European Commission, In<strong>for</strong>mation Society and Media. <br />
19<br />
Screen Digest Ltd, CMS Hasche Sigle, et al. (2006) Interactive content and convergence: Implications <strong>for</strong> the <br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation society. European Commission, In<strong>for</strong>mation Society and Media. <br />
20<br />
Ala‐Fossi, M., S. Lax, et al. (2008), 'The Future of <strong>Radio</strong> is Still <strong>Digital</strong> ‐ But Which One? Expert Perspectives and <br />
Future Scenarios <strong>for</strong> <strong>Radio</strong> Media in 2015', Journal of <strong>Radio</strong> & Audio Media, 15(1): 4‐25. <br />
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14