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Climate change futures: health, ecological and economic dimensions

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Physiological stresses on reef organisms are additive.Although reef <strong>change</strong>s are triggered by elevated temperature,several other factors compound the negativeeffects upon the ecosystems. Pollution from industrial,agricultural, petrochemical <strong>and</strong> domestic sources, sedimentationfrom shoreline erosion, daytime penetrationof intense ultraviolet radiation, <strong>and</strong> hyposalinity fromfreshwater runoff during times of extreme rainfallimpose added environmental stresses that impederecovery of the compromised reef.Caribbean reefs are now subject to annual episodesof bleaching <strong>and</strong> persistent expression of diseases (seefigure 2.31). The imminent collapse of Jamaica’s reefs<strong>and</strong> their overgrowth of macroalgae was alreadyapparent by 1991 (Goreau 1992) as a result ofbleaching stress (Goreau <strong>and</strong> Hayes 2004), massmortality of sea urchins (Lessios 1984), overharvestingof reef fishes (Jackson et al. 2001), <strong>and</strong> excess nutrient-loadingwith nitrates <strong>and</strong> phosphates released fromthe l<strong>and</strong> sources (Hughes et al. 2003).The collapse of reefs means the loss of net benefits thatvary in <strong>economic</strong> value depending upon the degree ofcoastal development. However, in Southeast Asia thetotal loss is estimated to represent an annual value ofUS $20,000-151,000 per square kilometer of reef(Burke 2002). This estimate is based upon an assessmentof benefits derived from fisheries, coastal protection,tourism <strong>and</strong> biodiversity.CORAL DISEASESIn addition, all species of keystone reef-building coralshave suffered mounting rates of mortality from anincreasing assortment of poorly defined emerging bacterialdiseases. Within the last three decades, coralcolonies have become hosts to various microbes <strong>and</strong>have demonstrated limited capacity to either resistmicrobial colonization <strong>and</strong> invasion or defend againsttissue infection <strong>and</strong> premature death (Harvell et al.1999; Sutherl<strong>and</strong> et al. 2004).Bacteria normally live in dynamic equilibrium within thesurface mucous layer secreted by corals. This relationshipbetween bacteria <strong>and</strong> coral mucus is one of mutualbenefit, since tropical waters are nutrient poor <strong>and</strong>incapable of sustaining bacterial metabolism. Coralmucus serves as a source of nutrition for these bacteria,<strong>and</strong> the bacteria, in turn, provide protection tocorals from predators. However, once bacteria colo-nize, invade <strong>and</strong> infect the coral tissue, that relationshipof mutualism shifts to parasitism. The corals, lackingother effective defense mechanisms against infection,are rapidly overgrown by macroalgae, as wellas bacteria <strong>and</strong> other microbes.The most prevalent signs of infection are discoloration,detachment from the skeleton, <strong>and</strong> loss of tissue integrity.Discolorations may be due to bacterial growth (forexample, black b<strong>and</strong>), loss of algae (for example,bleaching, coral pox), or local accumulation of pigment(for example, yellow b<strong>and</strong>, dark spot).Detachment of tissue from the skeleton represents dissolutionof anchoring filaments <strong>and</strong>/or solubilization ofthe aragonitic (a calcium compound) skeleton itself (forexample, coral plague). Tissue necrosis is slowly progressive<strong>and</strong> usually includes a patterned loss ofepithelial integrity (for example, white b<strong>and</strong>).HEALTH AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTSDecline in the <strong>health</strong> <strong>and</strong> integrity of coral reefs hasmultiple implications for sea life <strong>and</strong> for the coastalzone bordering low-lying tropical l<strong>and</strong>s. Declines <strong>and</strong>loss will decrease their function as nurseries for shellfish<strong>and</strong> finfish (approximately 40% of stocks worldwide),<strong>and</strong> affect the lives <strong>and</strong> livelihoods for communitiesthat depend on fishing for consumption <strong>and</strong> commercialization.The disruption of reefs as shoreline barriersallows salt water intrusion <strong>and</strong> salinization of groundwater.This can lead to hypertension in humans <strong>and</strong>decreased soil fertility for agricultural production (furtheraffecting <strong>health</strong> <strong>and</strong> nutrition). Reefs are alsobecoming reservoirs for microbial pathogens that cancontaminate the food chain, <strong>and</strong> are associated withhuman <strong>health</strong> risks from direct contact with microbeladencoastal waters (Epstein et al. 1993; Hayes <strong>and</strong>Goreau 1998).79 | NATURAL AND MANAGED SYSTEMSCASE STUDIES

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