Physiological stresses on reef organisms are additive.Although reef <strong>change</strong>s are triggered by elevated temperature,several other factors compound the negativeeffects upon the ecosystems. Pollution from industrial,agricultural, petrochemical <strong>and</strong> domestic sources, sedimentationfrom shoreline erosion, daytime penetrationof intense ultraviolet radiation, <strong>and</strong> hyposalinity fromfreshwater runoff during times of extreme rainfallimpose added environmental stresses that impederecovery of the compromised reef.Caribbean reefs are now subject to annual episodesof bleaching <strong>and</strong> persistent expression of diseases (seefigure 2.31). The imminent collapse of Jamaica’s reefs<strong>and</strong> their overgrowth of macroalgae was alreadyapparent by 1991 (Goreau 1992) as a result ofbleaching stress (Goreau <strong>and</strong> Hayes 2004), massmortality of sea urchins (Lessios 1984), overharvestingof reef fishes (Jackson et al. 2001), <strong>and</strong> excess nutrient-loadingwith nitrates <strong>and</strong> phosphates released fromthe l<strong>and</strong> sources (Hughes et al. 2003).The collapse of reefs means the loss of net benefits thatvary in <strong>economic</strong> value depending upon the degree ofcoastal development. However, in Southeast Asia thetotal loss is estimated to represent an annual value ofUS $20,000-151,000 per square kilometer of reef(Burke 2002). This estimate is based upon an assessmentof benefits derived from fisheries, coastal protection,tourism <strong>and</strong> biodiversity.CORAL DISEASESIn addition, all species of keystone reef-building coralshave suffered mounting rates of mortality from anincreasing assortment of poorly defined emerging bacterialdiseases. Within the last three decades, coralcolonies have become hosts to various microbes <strong>and</strong>have demonstrated limited capacity to either resistmicrobial colonization <strong>and</strong> invasion or defend againsttissue infection <strong>and</strong> premature death (Harvell et al.1999; Sutherl<strong>and</strong> et al. 2004).Bacteria normally live in dynamic equilibrium within thesurface mucous layer secreted by corals. This relationshipbetween bacteria <strong>and</strong> coral mucus is one of mutualbenefit, since tropical waters are nutrient poor <strong>and</strong>incapable of sustaining bacterial metabolism. Coralmucus serves as a source of nutrition for these bacteria,<strong>and</strong> the bacteria, in turn, provide protection tocorals from predators. However, once bacteria colo-nize, invade <strong>and</strong> infect the coral tissue, that relationshipof mutualism shifts to parasitism. The corals, lackingother effective defense mechanisms against infection,are rapidly overgrown by macroalgae, as wellas bacteria <strong>and</strong> other microbes.The most prevalent signs of infection are discoloration,detachment from the skeleton, <strong>and</strong> loss of tissue integrity.Discolorations may be due to bacterial growth (forexample, black b<strong>and</strong>), loss of algae (for example,bleaching, coral pox), or local accumulation of pigment(for example, yellow b<strong>and</strong>, dark spot).Detachment of tissue from the skeleton represents dissolutionof anchoring filaments <strong>and</strong>/or solubilization ofthe aragonitic (a calcium compound) skeleton itself (forexample, coral plague). Tissue necrosis is slowly progressive<strong>and</strong> usually includes a patterned loss ofepithelial integrity (for example, white b<strong>and</strong>).HEALTH AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTSDecline in the <strong>health</strong> <strong>and</strong> integrity of coral reefs hasmultiple implications for sea life <strong>and</strong> for the coastalzone bordering low-lying tropical l<strong>and</strong>s. Declines <strong>and</strong>loss will decrease their function as nurseries for shellfish<strong>and</strong> finfish (approximately 40% of stocks worldwide),<strong>and</strong> affect the lives <strong>and</strong> livelihoods for communitiesthat depend on fishing for consumption <strong>and</strong> commercialization.The disruption of reefs as shoreline barriersallows salt water intrusion <strong>and</strong> salinization of groundwater.This can lead to hypertension in humans <strong>and</strong>decreased soil fertility for agricultural production (furtheraffecting <strong>health</strong> <strong>and</strong> nutrition). Reefs are alsobecoming reservoirs for microbial pathogens that cancontaminate the food chain, <strong>and</strong> are associated withhuman <strong>health</strong> risks from direct contact with microbeladencoastal waters (Epstein et al. 1993; Hayes <strong>and</strong>Goreau 1998).79 | NATURAL AND MANAGED SYSTEMSCASE STUDIES
HARMFUL ALGALBLOOMSFigure 2.32 Red Tidein suppressing the immune systems <strong>and</strong> thus increasingsusceptibility to infections <strong>and</strong> cancers needs furtherstudy.Brown tides cause hypoxia <strong>and</strong> anoxia, <strong>and</strong> are contributingto the over 150 “dead zones” being reportedin bays <strong>and</strong> estuaries around the world (Rupp <strong>and</strong>White 2003 UNEP 2005), as well as losses of seagrassbeds, nurseries for shellfish (Harvell et al. 1999).Mangroves — whose dropped leaves feed fish <strong>and</strong>whose roots hide them — are being removed foraquaculture <strong>and</strong> coastal development. Mangroves arealso threatened by sea level rise. Loss of wetl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong>coral reefs, sea level rise <strong>and</strong> greater storm surgesthreaten beaches, roads, homes, hotels, isl<strong>and</strong> freshwater”lenses,” nutrition <strong>and</strong> livelihoods.80 | NATURAL AND MANAGED SYSTEMSImage: P.J.S. Franks/Scripps Institution of OceanographyMarine red tides or harmful algal blooms (HABs) areincreasing in frequency, intensity <strong>and</strong> duration worldwide,<strong>and</strong> novel toxic organisms are appearing(Harvell et al. 1999). Cholera <strong>and</strong> other bacteriaharmful to humans are harbored in the phyto- <strong>and</strong> zooplanktonthat form the basis of the marine food web.The increase in nitrogenous wastes (fertilizers, sewage<strong>and</strong> aerosolized nitrogen) provides the substrate forHABs, while warm, stagnant waters <strong>and</strong> runoff of nutrients,microorganisms <strong>and</strong> toxic chemicals after floodscan trigger large blooms, sometimes with toxin-producingorganisms (Epstein et al. 1993).Most biological toxins from red tides affect the nervoussystem. The effects range from temporary tingling ofthe lips, to headaches, <strong>change</strong> in consciousness,amnesia <strong>and</strong> paralysis. Repeated exposure could possiblylead to chronic fatigue, <strong>and</strong> the role of biotoxinsThe 2005 HAB outbreak of Alex<strong>and</strong>rium fundyense inNew Engl<strong>and</strong> was associated with heavy rains inMay <strong>and</strong> two nor’easters in June. The nor'easters(spawned by high pressure systems over cool freshNorth Atlantic waters) blew the blooms against thecoast <strong>and</strong> brought cold upwelling water with additionalnutrients. The large 1972 bloom in New Engl<strong>and</strong>of the dinoflagellate, Alex<strong>and</strong>rium tamarense, bearingsaxitoxins causing paralytic shellfish poisoning, firstappeared near the mouth of rivers after a droughtended with a hurricane. The extensive 2005 bloom inthe Northeast — affecting tourism, fisheries, livelihoods,event planners <strong>and</strong> restaurants — cost US $3million a week <strong>and</strong> could seed cysts along manysquare miles of coastline, setting the stage for harmfulalgal blooms in subsequent years.A red tide persisting at least nine months off Florida’swest cost has taken a large toll on fisheries, livelihoods<strong>and</strong> tourism (Goodnough 2005).– P.E.CASE STUDIESECONOMIC DIMENSIONSTable 2.4 provides a global environmental <strong>economic</strong>estimate of the potential new benefit streams fromcoral reefs per year <strong>and</strong> the net present value (NPV) ofthe world’s coral reefs in billions of US dollars. Thisanalysis is based upon a 50-year extrapolation at adiscount rate of 3% (Cesar et al. 2003).Table 2.4 The “Value” of Coral ReefsGOODS / SERVICESFisheriesAMOUNT (in US $BILLION)5.7Coastal Protection 9.0Tourism / Recreation 9.6Aesthetics / Biodiversity 5.5TOTAL 29.8NPV 797.4Source: Cesar et al. 2003
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Climate Change FuturesHealth, Ecolo
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Table of ContentsIntroductionPart I
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYClimate is the con
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the past decade, an increasing prop
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THE CASE STUDIES IN BRIEFInfectious
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THE INSURER’S OVERVIEW:A UNIQUE P
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Regulators and governments can empl
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THE PROBLEM:CLIMATE IS CHANGING, FA
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Figure 1.3 GreenlandEXTREMESOne of
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20 | THE CLIMATE CONTEXT TODAYWholl
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Figure 1.5 Global Weather-Related L
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Climate signals in rising costs fro
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CLIMATE CHANGE CANOCCUR ABRUPTLYPer
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- Page 113: 112 | APPENDICESAppendix A. Summary
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- Page 127 and 128: 126 | BIBLIOGRAPHYBibliographyAAAAI
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Ford, S.E. & Tripp, M.R. Diseases a
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132 | BIBLIOGRAPHYKalkstein, L. S.,
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134 | BIBLIOGRAPHYMills, E. The ins
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136 | BIBLIOGRAPHYRose, J. B., Epst
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138 | BIBLIOGRAPHYVandyk, J. K., Ba
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Infectious and Respiratory Diseases