Carbon Dioxide and Earth's Future Pursuing the ... - Magazooms

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therefore, the IPCC’s “very-high-confidence” conclusion is woefully wrong. Warming is highly
beneficial to human health, even without any overt adaptation to it. And when adaptations are
made, warming is incredibly beneficial in terms of lengthening human life span.
Working in the Castile-Leon region of Spain -- a plateau in the northwestern part of the country
that includes nine provinces with a low population density that can be considered as ageing --
Fernandez-Raga et al. (2010) obtained (from the country’s National Meteorological Institute)
meteorological data from weather stations situated in eight of the provincial capitals that
covered the period 1980-1998, while they obtained contemporary mortality data from the
country’s National Institute for Statistics for deaths associated with cardiovascular, respiratory
and digestive system diseases.
Various analyses of the monthly-averaged data revealed a number of interesting results. First,
for all three of the disease types studied, the three researchers found that “the death rate is
about 15% higher on a winter’s day than on a summer’s day,” which they describe as “a result
often found in previous studies,” citing the work of Fleming et al. (2000), Verlato et al. (2002),
Grech et al. (2002), Law et al. (2002) and Eccles (2002). And second, in a finding that helps to
explain the first finding, the three researchers discovered that when monthly-averaged human
death rates were plotted against monthly-averages of daily mean, maximum and minimum air
temperature, the results nearly always took the form of a U-shaped concave parabola, as
shown in the figure below.
Monthly deaths in the Castile-Leon region of Spain attributable to cardiovascular disease vs.
mean daily air temperature. Adapted from Fernandez-Raga et al. (2010).
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