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Carbon Dioxide and Earth's Future Pursuing the ... - Magazooms

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P a g e | 81<br />

in all four lizard populations over <strong>the</strong> 18-year study period, with snout-vent length exp<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

by roughly 28%. This increase in body size occurred in all age classes <strong>and</strong>, as <strong>the</strong>y describe it,<br />

“appeared related to a concomitant increase in temperature experienced during <strong>the</strong> first<br />

month of life (August).” As a result, <strong>the</strong>y found that “adult female body size increased<br />

markedly, <strong>and</strong>, as fecundity is strongly dependent on female body size, clutch size <strong>and</strong> total<br />

reproductive output also increased.” In addition, for a population where capture-recapture<br />

data were available, <strong>the</strong>y learned that “adult survival was positively related to May<br />

temperature.”<br />

In summarizing <strong>the</strong>ir findings, <strong>the</strong> French researchers stated that since all fitness components<br />

investigated responded positively to <strong>the</strong> increase in temperature, “it might be concluded that<br />

<strong>the</strong> common lizard has been advantaged by <strong>the</strong> shift in temperature.” This finding, in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

words, st<strong>and</strong>s in stark contrast to <strong>the</strong> “habitat-based prediction that <strong>the</strong>se populations located<br />

close to mountain tops on <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn margin of <strong>the</strong> species range should be unable to cope<br />

with <strong>the</strong> alteration of <strong>the</strong>ir habitat.” Hence, <strong>the</strong>y concluded that “to achieve a better prediction<br />

of a species persistence, one will probably need to combine both habitat <strong>and</strong> individual-based<br />

approaches,” noting, however, that individual responses, such as those documented in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

study (which were all positive), represent “<strong>the</strong> ultimate driver of a species response to climate<br />

change.”<br />

Out in <strong>the</strong> watery realm of <strong>the</strong> world’s oceans, Rombouts et al. (2008) developed <strong>the</strong> first<br />

global description of geographical variation in <strong>the</strong> diversity of marine copepods in relation to<br />

ten environmental variables; <strong>and</strong> in doing so, <strong>the</strong>y found that “ocean temperature was <strong>the</strong><br />

most important explanatory factor among all environmental variables tested, accounting for 54<br />

percent of <strong>the</strong> variation in diversity.” Hence, it was not surprising, as <strong>the</strong>y described it, that<br />

“diversity peaked at subtropical latitudes in <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Hemisphere <strong>and</strong> showed a plateau in<br />

<strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Hemisphere where diversity remained high from <strong>the</strong> Equator to <strong>the</strong> beginning of<br />

<strong>the</strong> temperate regions,” which pattern, in <strong>the</strong>ir words, “is consistent with latitudinal variations<br />

found for some o<strong>the</strong>r marine taxa, e.g. foraminifera (Ru<strong>the</strong>rford et al., 1999), tintinnids (Dolan<br />

et al., 2006) <strong>and</strong> fish (Worm et al., 2005; Boyce et al., 2008), <strong>and</strong> also in <strong>the</strong> terrestrial<br />

environment, e.g. aphids, sawflies <strong>and</strong> birds (Gaston <strong>and</strong> Blackburn, 2000).”<br />

“Given <strong>the</strong> strong positive correlation between diversity <strong>and</strong> temperature,” <strong>the</strong> six scientists<br />

went on to say that “local copepod diversity, especially in extra-tropical regions, is likely to<br />

increase with climate change as <strong>the</strong>ir large-scale distributions respond to climate warming.”<br />

This state of affairs is much <strong>the</strong> same as what has typically been found on l<strong>and</strong> for birds,<br />

butterflies <strong>and</strong> several o<strong>the</strong>r terrestrial lifeforms, as <strong>the</strong>ir ranges exp<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> overlap in<br />

response to global warming. And with more territory thus available to <strong>the</strong>m, <strong>the</strong>ir “foothold”<br />

on <strong>the</strong> planet becomes ever stronger, fortifying <strong>the</strong>m against forces (many of <strong>the</strong>m humaninduced)<br />

that might o<strong>the</strong>rwise lead to <strong>the</strong>ir extinction.<br />

Millar <strong>and</strong> Westfall (2010) studied American pikas: small generalist herbivores that are relatives<br />

of rabbits <strong>and</strong> hares that inhabit patchily-distributed rocky slopes of western North American<br />

mountains <strong>and</strong> are good at tolerating cold. And as a result of that fact, it is not surprising that<br />

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