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Carbon Dioxide and Earth's Future Pursuing the ... - Magazooms

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1. Unprecedented Warming of <strong>the</strong> Planet<br />

www.co2science.org<br />

P a g e | 6<br />

The claim: With respect to air temperature, <strong>the</strong> climate-alarmist contention is multifaceted. It is<br />

claimed that over <strong>the</strong> past several decades: (a) earth’s temperature has risen to a level that is<br />

unprecedented over <strong>the</strong> past millennium or more, (b) <strong>the</strong> world has been warming at a rate that<br />

is equally unprecedented, <strong>and</strong> (c) both of <strong>the</strong>se dubious achievements have been made possible<br />

by <strong>the</strong> similarly unprecedented magnitude of anthropogenic CO2 emissions, due to humanity’s<br />

ever-increasing burning of fossil fuels such as coal, gas <strong>and</strong> oil.<br />

With respect to <strong>the</strong> level of warmth <strong>the</strong> earth has recently attained, it is important to see how<br />

it compares with prior temperatures experienced by <strong>the</strong> planet, in order to determine <strong>the</strong><br />

degree of "unprecedentedness" of its current warmth.<br />

Taking a ra<strong>the</strong>r lengthy view of <strong>the</strong> subject, Petit et al. (1999) found that peak temperatures<br />

experienced during <strong>the</strong> current interglacial, or Holocene, have been <strong>the</strong> coldest of <strong>the</strong> last five<br />

interglacials, with <strong>the</strong> four interglacials that preceded <strong>the</strong> Holocene being, on average, more<br />

than 2°C warmer (see figure at right). And in a more recent analysis of <strong>the</strong> subject, Sime et al.<br />

(2009) suggested that <strong>the</strong> “maximum<br />

interglacial temperatures over <strong>the</strong><br />

past 340,000 years were between<br />

6.0°C <strong>and</strong> 10.0°C above present-day<br />

values.” If anything, <strong>the</strong>refore, <strong>the</strong>se<br />

findings suggest that temperatures of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Holocene, or current interglacial,<br />

were indeed unusual, but not<br />

unusually warm. Quite to <strong>the</strong><br />

contrary, <strong>the</strong>y have been unusually<br />

cool.<br />

But could <strong>the</strong> higher temperatures of<br />

<strong>the</strong> past four interglacials have been<br />

caused by higher CO2 concentrations<br />

due to some non-human influence?<br />

Absolutely not, for atmospheric CO2<br />

concentrations during all four prior<br />

Proxy temperature anomalies derived by Petit et al.<br />

(1999) from <strong>the</strong> Vostok ice core in Antarctica..<br />

interglacials never rose above approximately 290 ppm; whereas <strong>the</strong> air’s CO2 concentration<br />

today st<strong>and</strong>s at nearly 390 ppm.<br />

Combining <strong>the</strong>se two observations, we have a situation where, compared with <strong>the</strong> mean<br />

conditions of <strong>the</strong> preceding four interglacials, <strong>the</strong>re is currently 100 ppm more CO2 in <strong>the</strong> air<br />

than <strong>the</strong>re was <strong>the</strong>n, <strong>and</strong> it is currently more than 2°C colder than it was <strong>the</strong>n, which adds up to<br />

one huge discrepancy for <strong>the</strong> world’s climate alarmists <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir claim that high atmospheric<br />

CO2 concentrations lead to high temperatures. The situation is unprecedented, all right, but<br />

not in <strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong> public is being led to believe.<br />

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