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Carbon Dioxide and Earth's Future Pursuing the ... - Magazooms

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8. Declining Vegetative Productivity<br />

www.co2science.org<br />

P a g e | 85<br />

The claim: Rising temperatures <strong>and</strong> increased wea<strong>the</strong>r extremes will decimate <strong>the</strong> productivity<br />

of critical earth ecosystems.<br />

Climate-model projections have long suggested that <strong>the</strong> “twin evils” of <strong>the</strong> world's radical<br />

environmentalist movement (atmospheric CO2 enrichment <strong>and</strong> global warming) will wreck<br />

havoc with earth’s natural <strong>and</strong> agro-ecosystems. However, a vast body of real-world research<br />

indicates that <strong>the</strong>se two phenomena will likely do just <strong>the</strong> opposite.<br />

<strong>Carbon</strong> dioxide is one of <strong>the</strong> two chief constituents of life on earth, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r being water; <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> combining of <strong>the</strong> two of <strong>the</strong>m via <strong>the</strong> process of photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis is <strong>the</strong> very beginning of <strong>the</strong><br />

planet’s many “food chains,” be <strong>the</strong>y aquatic or terrestrial. Fortunately, it is a simple matter to<br />

assess <strong>the</strong> effect of an increase in <strong>the</strong> air’s CO2 content on this phenomenon as it operates in<br />

terrestrial plants, for it can be accomplished by merely increasing <strong>the</strong> CO2 concentration of <strong>the</strong><br />

air surrounding <strong>the</strong> plants in question <strong>and</strong> measuring <strong>the</strong> CO2 exchange between <strong>the</strong> air <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

plants (in <strong>the</strong> case of photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis) or <strong>the</strong> production of biomass (in <strong>the</strong> case of growth). And<br />

<strong>the</strong>re have been literally thous<strong>and</strong>s of such experiments performed in both <strong>the</strong> laboratory <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> field, throughout most of <strong>the</strong> inhabited parts of <strong>the</strong> planet.<br />

The world’s largest repository of <strong>the</strong> results of such studies is located at <strong>the</strong> website of <strong>the</strong><br />

Center for <strong>the</strong> Study of <strong>Carbon</strong> <strong>Dioxide</strong> <strong>and</strong> Global Change in two huge <strong>and</strong> ever-exp<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

databases (http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/plantgrowth.php) to which new<br />

results are added weekly: one for photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis <strong>and</strong> one for biomass or plant dry weight<br />

production. In <strong>the</strong> former category, one could find, at <strong>the</strong> end of 2010, <strong>the</strong> results of 71<br />

individual experiments conducted on rice (an average increase in <strong>the</strong> rate of photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis of<br />

48.5% in response to a 300-ppm increase in <strong>the</strong> air’s CO2 concentration), while in <strong>the</strong> case of<br />

biomass production, one could find <strong>the</strong> results of 178 individual experiments (an average dry<br />

weight increase of 34.5% in response to a 300-ppm increase in <strong>the</strong> air’s CO2 concentration).<br />

Likewise, in <strong>the</strong> case of wheat, <strong>the</strong>re were 91 individual determinations of <strong>the</strong> increase in<br />

photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis caused by a 300-ppm increase in atmospheric CO2 (an average increase of<br />

62.7%) <strong>and</strong> 235 individual determinations of <strong>the</strong> increase in dry weight production (an average<br />

increase of 32.1%).<br />

A complete summary listing of such results for all plants in <strong>the</strong> CO2 Science database may be<br />

found in Appendix 2 (for dry weight or biomass) <strong>and</strong> Appendix 3 (for photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis) of Climate<br />

Change Reconsidered (Idso <strong>and</strong> Singer, 2009), as things stood as of 23 March 2009. In addition,<br />

Idso <strong>and</strong> Idso (2000), in analyzing how things stood about a decade earlier, had determined <strong>the</strong><br />

mean percentage yield increases in response to a 300-ppm increase in <strong>the</strong> atmosphere’s CO2<br />

concentration to be approximately 15% for CAM plants, 49% for C3 cereals, 20% for C4 cereals,<br />

25% for fruits <strong>and</strong> melons, 44% for legumes, 48% for roots <strong>and</strong> tubers, 36% for vegetables, <strong>and</strong><br />

51% for woody crop plants.<br />

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