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CORDIO Status Report 2000

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to date. Working group discussions were held in five areas:<br />

1. Climate change and long term trends<br />

2. Regional research<br />

3. Socio-economic considerations<br />

4. Management and awareness issues<br />

5. Database requirements<br />

The conclusions of the working groups are included in<br />

this report. Of particular importance were discussions<br />

held on the novel challenges to research and management<br />

posed by climate change and the false vision of a<br />

pristine historical reef state that has underpinned most<br />

current research. What is needed is almost an emerging<br />

science that develops innovative ways to measure and<br />

interpret the influence of climate change on ecological<br />

systems. Of utmost importance is the compilation of<br />

long-term records (e.g. meteorological data) to establish<br />

long-term trends, measurement of simple variables<br />

(such as beach width) over large spatial scales to establish<br />

synoptic baselines and greater dedication to monitoring<br />

key processes such as recruitment rather than<br />

gross variables such as coral cover.<br />

The increasing frequency and severity of mass coral<br />

bleaching events is the single most dramatic and tangible<br />

demonstration of global climate change. Predictions<br />

of the consequences of gradual rises in temperature and<br />

sea level have been eclipsed by the effects of violent fluctuations<br />

of natural climatic cycles. El Niño events of a<br />

magnitude previously experienced only once every 100<br />

years are now occurring at intervals ranging between<br />

three and 20 years, with severe impacts extending beyond<br />

their original limits within the Eastern Pacific to<br />

the equatorial and monsoon regions of the Indian<br />

Ocean.<br />

The development of alternative livelihoods for subsistence<br />

fishermen and others dependent on reef resources<br />

is an important area for research and development.<br />

Aquaculture of commercially valuable organisms,<br />

expansion of marine resource use to include a wider variety<br />

of species thus alleviating the pressure on target<br />

species and the development of terrestrial opportunities<br />

to improve livelihoods in terms of income and/or food<br />

security is desirable. However, participation of all stakeholders<br />

in the process of development and implementation<br />

is paramount for the success of such schemes<br />

Coral reefs are among the first ecosystems on the<br />

planet that are being dramatically affected by global climate<br />

change. Their high biodiversity and their fundamental<br />

importance to coastal populations raises the need<br />

for problem solving research and management. Bleaching<br />

of coral as a result of increased sea temperatures<br />

caused by global climate change offers a unique opportunity<br />

to investigate the effects of climate change on an<br />

ecosystem scale and within a relatively small time<br />

frame. Conseqvently, <strong>CORDIO</strong> is establishing a process<br />

for addressing this global challenge in the western Indian<br />

Ocean. Despite the growing weight of local and global<br />

threats, <strong>CORDIO</strong>, in <strong>2000</strong> and 2001, will attempt to<br />

improve the fate of coral reefs through research and development<br />

projects that support management and improves<br />

the livelihoods of people dependent on coral reef<br />

ecosystems.<br />

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