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Connecting Global Priorities Biodiversity and Human Health

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since the mid-twentieth century than at any other<br />

time in recorded human history. Among the 24<br />

categories of ecosystem services assessed, 15 of<br />

them were in a state of decline, the majority of<br />

them regulating <strong>and</strong> supporting services (MA<br />

2005). Declining services include pollination,<br />

the ability of agricultural systems to provide pest<br />

control, the provision of freshwater, marine fishery<br />

production, <strong>and</strong> the capacity of the atmosphere<br />

to cleanse itself of pollutants. Most ecosystem<br />

services that were found to be increasing were<br />

provisioning services, including crops, livestock<br />

<strong>and</strong> aquaculture. Consumption was also increasing<br />

of all services across all four categories. These<br />

increases have helped to generate <strong>and</strong> sustain<br />

the increases in human health <strong>and</strong> well-being<br />

seen over the same period. However, the decline<br />

of many other ecosystem services – mostly the<br />

regulating <strong>and</strong> supporting services – threatens<br />

to undermine this progress, presenting threats<br />

to human health <strong>and</strong> well-being (Chivian <strong>and</strong><br />

Bernstein 2008; Haines-Young <strong>and</strong> Potschin 2010;<br />

McMichael <strong>and</strong> Beaglehole 2000), several of which<br />

are described throughout this technical volume.<br />

In general, aggregate terms, socioeconomic<br />

progress has benefited human health <strong>and</strong> wellbeing,<br />

but at a cost to the underlying natural<br />

resource base. Raudsepp-Hearne et al. (2010)<br />

examined several hypotheses to explain this<br />

apparent paradox <strong>and</strong> call for efforts to exp<strong>and</strong><br />

our underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the complex cross-scale<br />

interactions between ecosystem services, human<br />

activities <strong>and</strong> human well-being.<br />

3.3 <strong>Biodiversity</strong> loss, biosphere<br />

integrity <strong>and</strong> tipping points<br />

Ecosystem management strategies aimed at<br />

maximizing conservation <strong>and</strong> public health<br />

co-benefits must consider that systems have<br />

emergent properties that are not possessed by<br />

their individual components: they are more<br />

than the sum of their parts. One example is the<br />

resilience of ecosystems to absorb shock in the<br />

face of disturbance (such as pests <strong>and</strong> disease,<br />

climate change, invasive species, or the harvesting<br />

of crops, animals or timber) <strong>and</strong> return to their<br />

original structure <strong>and</strong> functioning. Ecosystems can<br />

be transformed if a change in ecosystem structure<br />

crosses a given threshold. Structural changes<br />

may be manifested as a result of the removal<br />

of key predators or other species from the food<br />

web (Thomson et al. 2012), the simplification of<br />

vegetation or soil structure, increased or decreased<br />

aridity, species loss <strong>and</strong> many other factors.<br />

<strong>Biodiversity</strong> loss is continuing, <strong>and</strong> in many cases<br />

increasing (Butchart et al. 2010; Tittensor et al.<br />

2014). <strong>Biodiversity</strong> loss has been identified as one<br />

of the most critical drivers of ecosystem change<br />

(Hooper et al. 2012). Changes in the diversity of<br />

species that alter ecosystem function may directly<br />

reduce access to ecosystem services such as food,<br />

water <strong>and</strong> fuel, <strong>and</strong> also alter the abundance of<br />

species that control critical ecosystem processes<br />

essential to the provision of those services (Chapin<br />

et al. 2000).<br />

Ecosystem regime shifts, including “tipping<br />

points”, have been widely described <strong>and</strong><br />

characterized at local levels (for example,<br />

eutrophication of freshwater or coastal areas<br />

due to excess nutrients; collapse of fisheries<br />

due to overfishing; shifts of coral reefs to algaedominated<br />

systems; see Sheffer 2009; CBD 2010).<br />

There is growing concern that regime shifts<br />

could occur at very large spatial scales over the<br />

next several decades, as human–environment<br />

systems exceed limits because of powerful <strong>and</strong><br />

widespread driving forces that often act in<br />

combination: climate change, overexploitation of<br />

natural resources, pollution, habitat destruction,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the introduction of invasive species (Leadley<br />

et al. 2014; Barnosky et al. 2012; Hughes et al.<br />

2013). Cardinale et al. (2012) suggest that the<br />

impacts of biodiversity loss on ecological processes<br />

might be sufficiently large to rival the impacts of<br />

climate change <strong>and</strong> many other global drivers of<br />

environmental change.<br />

Leadley et al. describe scenarios for regional-scale<br />

shifts that would have large-scale <strong>and</strong> profound<br />

implications for human well-being (Leadley<br />

et al. 2014). The unprecedented pressures of<br />

human activity on biodiversity <strong>and</strong> on the<br />

earth’s ecosystems may also lead to potentially<br />

irreversible consequences at a planetary scale,<br />

<strong>and</strong> this prospect has led to the identification of<br />

36 <strong>Connecting</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Priorities</strong>: <strong>Biodiversity</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong>

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