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Smart Industry 1/2016

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How’s the Weather? Just ask Watson!<br />

■ The Weather Company<br />

the machine he is referencing, and<br />

correlate recent maintenance to<br />

identify the most likely source of the<br />

vibration and then recommend an<br />

action to reduce it.<br />

Machine Learning processes data<br />

automatically, monitors new data<br />

and continuously and ranks data on<br />

user interactions based on learned<br />

priorities. Machine Learning can be<br />

applied to any data coming from<br />

devices and sensors to automatically<br />

understand the current conditions,<br />

what’s normal, expected<br />

trends, properties to monitor, and<br />

suggested actions when an issue<br />

arises. For example, the platform can<br />

monitor incoming data from fleet<br />

equipment to learn both normal<br />

and abnormal conditions, including<br />

environment and production processes,<br />

which are often unique to<br />

each piece of equipment. Video and<br />

Image Analytics which uses unstructured<br />

data from video feeds and<br />

image snapshots to identify scenes<br />

and patterns. This knowledge can<br />

be combined with machine data to<br />

gain a greater understanding of past<br />

events and emerging situations. For<br />

example, video analytics monitoring<br />

security cameras might note<br />

the presence of a forklift infringing<br />

on a restricted area, creating a minor<br />

alert in the system; three days<br />

later, an asset in that area begins to<br />

exhibit decreased performance.<br />

photo©: IBM<br />

photo©: IBM<br />

Power outages are mostly caused by the strains of<br />

wind, rain, sleet, snow and ice. According to Brandon<br />

Hertell, a certifi ed consulting meteorologist and a<br />

manager at IBM’s Analytics division, an aging grid<br />

and growing population makes the electrical grid<br />

seven times more susceptible to failure. 70 percent<br />

of storm-related outages to the U.S. are responsible<br />

for between $20 and $55 bn in damages annually,<br />

he estimates. In a world in which the climate is<br />

changing, and major weather ‘events’ are becoming<br />

more frequent, data suggests the number of<br />

weather-related outages will continue to rise.<br />

Today, utility managers examine multiple sources of<br />

diverse and mostly unstructured data to fi gure out<br />

what the weather will be like. Then, in a separate analysis,<br />

they try to fi gure out what the impact will be. “If<br />

they missed one seemingly innocent feature or data<br />

point, like leaves still on trees”, Hertell says, “the whole<br />

scenario changes.”<br />

With the acquisition of The Weather Company, the<br />

owner of one of America’s most popular weather<br />

forecasting website weather.com, and with the help<br />

of advanced analytics, IBM hopes to create order out<br />

of chaos and in the process fi nd a way to tell us in<br />

advance if it will rain or shine.<br />

The Weather Company handles up to 26 billion<br />

inquiries to its cloud-based services each day. Using<br />

the data supplied by weather.com, IBM’s advanced<br />

analytics aims at combining the weather, infrastructure<br />

and historical impact information saving time<br />

and allowing you to focus on proactively responding<br />

to the storm.<br />

Lead-time will be in days, not hours, allowing you to<br />

make the appropriate calls for restoration resources.<br />

Notifi cations can go out to employees so staffi ng<br />

plans can be developed. Improved customer communications<br />

will prepare them for potential outages. This<br />

will improve their experience with the utility providers<br />

and reduce regulatory scrutiny. If the weather forecast<br />

changes or you want to run scenarios on different<br />

storm strength, path, or timing it’s all possible with a<br />

cloud-based solution. You can even perform signature<br />

analyses and compare current weather to past events.<br />

Weather will always be unpredictable, but the power<br />

of cognitive insight, combined with analytics can help<br />

utilities better prepare, and create new systems that<br />

reason and learn over time. Combining weather data<br />

with traditional business data from an unprecedented<br />

number of Internet of Things enabled systems<br />

and devices has the potential to signifi cantly impact<br />

decision-making. Maybe we can’t change the weather,<br />

but at least we will know what’s coming our way.<br />

13<br />

photo©: IBM

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