Illiquid assets
Unwrapping alternative returns Global Investor, 01/2015 Credit Suisse
Unwrapping alternative returns
Global Investor, 01/2015
Credit Suisse
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GLOBAL INVESTOR 1.15 — 29<br />
Adrian Orr: You have to take your<br />
mind out of an SAA framework. We asked<br />
ourselves, how could we achieve our purpose<br />
in the least-cost, simplest manner?<br />
That means going out and buying listed,<br />
low-cost liquid <strong>assets</strong> to create what we<br />
call our reference portfolio. It ends up being<br />
effectively 80% equity, 20% fixed income,<br />
globally diversified. And we think of that<br />
reference portfolio as delivering a Treasury<br />
bill plus 2.5% return, on average, over<br />
20 years. We then get out of bed every<br />
morning and say: how can we outperform<br />
that reference portfolio? How can we<br />
add value?<br />
José Antonio Blanco: Adding value<br />
means …?<br />
Adrian Orr: Improving the Sharpe ratio,<br />
a higher return for the same risk, or the<br />
same return for less risk. And that is when<br />
we start actively investing.<br />
Oliver Adler: If you compared your actual<br />
allocations with a typical SAA for a balanced<br />
fund, how marked would the deviations<br />
be, say, in the main asset classes from any<br />
kind of starting or “reference” point?<br />
Adrian Orr: The deviation is quite big,<br />
and has become more visible since about<br />
2007, when we shifted away from our<br />
SAA (we had one once!) and got far more<br />
active and more direct in our investment<br />
strategies. This is also the period of<br />
high growth in the value-add of the fund.<br />
So I would compare our strategy style to<br />
a growth fund’s, not a balanced fund’s.<br />
We have performed exceptionally strongly<br />
over the last five years or so, with<br />
annualized returns anywhere between<br />
17% and 25%.<br />
Oliver Adler: What about illiquid asset<br />
classes such as real estate, which<br />
is probably very local? Or infrastructure,<br />
which everyone is talking about?<br />
Adrian Orr: Many of our illiquid <strong>assets</strong><br />
have entered the portfolio as diversifiers<br />
(like timber) or because there was a<br />
significant market mispricing, or a specific<br />
asset mispricing (like Life Insurance Settlements).<br />
Infrastructure has been the real<br />
tough one. Infrastructure <strong>assets</strong> have been<br />
very sought after; so we rarely see a<br />
mispricing opportunity, and they aren’t as<br />
good a diversifier as people claim unless<br />
they are true infrastructure.<br />
José Antonio Blanco: How do you handle<br />
the delicate question of ethical and<br />
sustainable investment vis-à-vis illiquid<br />
<strong>assets</strong>?<br />
“We then get out of<br />
bed every morning and<br />
say: how can we<br />
outperform that reference<br />
portfolio? How can<br />
we add value?”<br />
Adrian Orr<br />
Adrian Orr<br />
CEO of the New Zealand Superannuation<br />
Fund, which he joined in February 2007,<br />
coming from the Reserve Bank of New<br />
Zealand where he was Deputy Governor.<br />
He has also held the positions of<br />
Chief Economist at Westpac Banking<br />
Corporation, Chief Manager of the Economics<br />
Department of the Reserve Bank<br />
of New Zealand and Chief Economist at<br />
The National Bank of New Zealand.<br />
Adrian Orr: A big part of our emphasis<br />
on consistency is related to environmental<br />
and social governance issues. We will<br />
not enter into an external manager contract<br />
if we cannot get the transparency we<br />
need and the behaviors and reporting and<br />
performance that we expect.<br />
Oliver Adler: Would you agree that the<br />
set of opportunities for you has diminished<br />
over the last few years generally, if you<br />
look across most investable <strong>assets</strong>?<br />
Adrian Orr: Very much so. Our big valueadd<br />
came from being able to be a contrarian<br />
investor. Now equity prices are broadly<br />
at fair value, globally. There are still some<br />
opportunities in Europe and Japan, but<br />
that’s where we have lower confidence.<br />
José Antonio Blanco: In principle,<br />
does the current situation favor illiquid<br />
<strong>assets</strong> relative to traded <strong>assets</strong>?<br />
Adrian Orr: I would say the illiquidity<br />
premium has declined. There’s so much<br />
global capital chasing illiquid <strong>assets</strong>,<br />
that we just think, why bother? Why take<br />
on illiquidity and all of the governance<br />
challenges that come with direct investing<br />
when you’re not being rewarded for it?<br />
So we can be patient and await better<br />
opportunities over time.