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Our World in 2018

Leading minds reflect on the state of our societies, and examine the challenges that lie ahead. An edition dedicated to generating ideas that will help form a new vision for our world.

Leading minds reflect on the state of our societies, and examine the challenges that lie ahead. An edition dedicated to generating ideas that will help form a new vision for our world.

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suspicious of elites “feeding at the trough”

while everyone else allegedly struggles to

make ends meet.

Part of the problem is that expectations

have outrun reality. When expectations go

unmet, people begin to suspect that the

social compact itself is unfair. It is this sense of

unfairness, far more than income levels, that

has fueled support for populist movements.

After all, one can earn much more than the

Polish minimum wage and still resent the

fact that the global rich are squirreling away

trillions of dollars in tax havens, or that

transnational companies routinely shirk their

tax obligations.

Moreover, populists, despite their racist

rhetoric on the issue of migration, are not

wrong to intuit that a generous welfare state

is incompatible with open borders. There

are a billion people on the other side of the

Mediterranean Sea who cannot be blamed for

wanting to live in a European welfare state.

Many of them live in countries with neither

welfare nor even a functioning state.

Europe cannot accept everyone. There are

legitimate discussions to be had about

tolerable immigration rates, Western

countries’ absorptive capacity, and border

controls. Moreover, it is fair to ask if there are

better ways than mass migration to address

the problems associated with an aging

and parental leave. What has been most

irksome to populists and their sympathizers

is that merely raising such questions exposes

one to accusations of intolerance, or worse.

As to the third populist grievance, it was

predictable that those left behind in the age of

globalization and meritocracy would fall back

on collective identities as a source of dignity.

And in Poland and the US, in particular, this

trend has been reinforced by a decline in

religiosity. Nationalism is the last refuge of

those who fear losing a way of life. It is partly

a reaction of endangered majorities that do

not want to become minorities.

Now, alongside this list of grievances,

consider the fact that, historically, every

communications revolution has led to a

political revolution. In a world of unregulated

Radosław

Sikorski

R

is a former Polish

foreign minister.

OUR POLITICAL SOCIETIES

social media, populist demagogues do not

have to do much to stoke the confusion,

paranoia, and cynicism that are already

smoldering within the electorate.

Looking forward, policymakers and political

leaders need to address the fundamental

concerns that populists have tapped. First,

we need to fix capitalism, by ensuring that

social contributions are rewarded more

appropriately than they are today. Even if we

contribution than doctors, are we really

expected to believe that they contribute a

thousand – let alone ten thousand – times

more? Likewise, it is time to freeze out

companies and individuals that maintain

accounts in OECD-designated tax havens.

The EU, for its part, is right to insist that

multinationals pay taxes wherever they do

business.

Member states need to support the

Commission’s proposals for tougher controls.

Second, governments need to reassert

control over national – or, in the case of the

EU, supranational – borders. Citizens want

a say over who comes to live in their midst,

and under what conditions. And they want to

ensure that those who do come plan to be

good neighbors.

Third, politicians must stop mining cheap

nationalism for tactical electoral advantages.

They owe it to voters to explain why their

interests will be better protected through

multilateralism. This is especially true for the

EU, which needs to cultivate more European

patriotism, perhaps through joint military

action on the periphery.

Finally, the Internet, social media, and other

new technologies need to be regulated, either

by pressuring companies to police themselves,

or by enacting new legislation. Like any worldchanging

invention, digital technologies have

obvious downsides that cannot be ignored.

These are difficult but achievable goals.

Contrary to the defeatism that has become

rampant nowadays, we can, through

democratic means, enact legislation and

adopt regulations that address the problems

populists have identified. But we need to

hurry. If we don’t act, the populists will – and

with far more damaging results.

OUR WORLD | 2018

Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2018. www.project-syndicate.org

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