23.12.2012 Views

Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra

Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra

Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

“<br />

Address<strong>in</strong>g climate <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong><br />

is <strong>an</strong> opportunity for <strong>the</strong><br />

territories to build resilience<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>herent<br />

vulnerabilities associated<br />

with <strong>the</strong>ir size <strong>an</strong>d natural<br />

features…<br />

”<br />

on <strong>the</strong> environment. Therefore, ecological<br />

<strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong>s, such as decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> populations<br />

<strong>of</strong> some pl<strong>an</strong>ts <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong>imals, c<strong>an</strong> negatively<br />

affect <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>dustries.<br />

1.3 The time to act is now<br />

<strong>UKOTs</strong> ought to assume that future climate<br />

impacts will be more severe th<strong>an</strong> <strong>an</strong>yth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

experienced to date. The scope <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

problem, <strong>the</strong> challenge <strong>of</strong> reach<strong>in</strong>g global<br />

consensus, <strong>the</strong> uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>of</strong> future projections<br />

becom<strong>in</strong>g reality, <strong>the</strong> question<br />

about how much <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> is due to natural<br />

variability <strong>an</strong>d how much is hum<strong>an</strong><strong>in</strong>duced,<br />

<strong>an</strong>d <strong>the</strong> very practical issue <strong>of</strong><br />

cost should not be barriers to tak<strong>in</strong>g decisive<br />

action now. No matter what <strong>the</strong> scenario<br />

for <strong>the</strong> future <strong>of</strong> greenhouse gas<br />

emissions, <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> is already underway.<br />

The big question is, c<strong>an</strong> countries <strong>an</strong>d citizens<br />

afford to do noth<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>exorable <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong>s <strong>in</strong> climate patterns? It<br />

is only with h<strong>in</strong>dsight that we will have<br />

18<br />

View from St. Helena<br />

Credit: V<strong>in</strong>ce Thompson, St. Helena National Trust.<br />

conclusive evidence, but by <strong>the</strong>n it could<br />

be too late. People <strong>an</strong>d <strong>the</strong> environment<br />

will already be confronted with <strong>the</strong> consequences<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong>d conditions. Tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

action now to cap greenhouse gas emissions<br />

<strong>an</strong>d prepare for climate <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong><br />

impacts will be less costly <strong>an</strong>d more effective<br />

th<strong>an</strong> remedial measures <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future.<br />

An opportunity for UK Overseas<br />

Territories<br />

Although climate <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> <strong>an</strong>d its impacts<br />

may seem daunt<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong>re are th<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

<strong>UKOTs</strong> c<strong>an</strong> do about <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir local<br />

context. Address<strong>in</strong>g climate <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> is <strong>an</strong><br />

opportunity for <strong>the</strong> territories to build<br />

resilience <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>herent vulnerabilities<br />

associated with <strong>the</strong>ir size <strong>an</strong>d natural<br />

features, <strong>in</strong> addition to adapt<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

ch<strong>an</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g climate conditions. It is also <strong>an</strong><br />

opportunity for <strong>the</strong>se countries to take<br />

measures to stem future impacts as part <strong>of</strong><br />

a strategy <strong>of</strong> mov<strong>in</strong>g towards what former<br />

UN Secretary-General K<strong>of</strong>i Ann<strong>an</strong> has<br />

referred to as “safer, sounder models <strong>of</strong><br />

development” (Ann<strong>an</strong>, 2006). <strong>UKOTs</strong> have<br />

<strong>the</strong> potential to be models <strong>of</strong> climate<br />

<strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> adaptation <strong>an</strong>d mitigation for <strong>the</strong><br />

rest <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

A ‘w<strong>in</strong> – w<strong>in</strong>’ proposition<br />

Adaptation c<strong>an</strong> be a ‘w<strong>in</strong>-w<strong>in</strong>’ situation for<br />

<strong>UKOTs</strong>. Targeted actions designed to<br />

address current issues such as <strong>the</strong> need<br />

for effective biodiversity conservation <strong>an</strong>d<br />

<strong>the</strong> reduction <strong>of</strong> vulnerability to climatic<br />

events (for example, droughts, storms,<br />

floods) are <strong>the</strong> first steps <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> climate<br />

<strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> adaptation process. This approach<br />

is based on <strong>the</strong> premise that if a country or<br />

community is not fully able to cope with current<br />

climatic conditions, it c<strong>an</strong>not expect to<br />

effectively adapt to future <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong>s <strong>in</strong> climate.<br />

Any commitment or <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />

current needs <strong>the</strong>refore elim<strong>in</strong>ates <strong>the</strong><br />

question <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> current<br />

needs or climate <strong>ch<strong>an</strong>ge</strong> adaptation.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!