Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra
Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra
Climate change in the UKOTs an overview of the ... - JNCC - Defra
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L<strong>an</strong>d use (18%)<br />
Agriculture (14%)<br />
Waste (3%)<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r energy related<br />
(5%)<br />
NON-ENERGY<br />
EMISSIONS<br />
Waste<br />
Agriculture<br />
L<strong>an</strong>d use<br />
Industry (14%)<br />
Power (24%)<br />
Tr<strong>an</strong>sport (14%)<br />
Build<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
(8%)<br />
ENERGY EMISSIONS<br />
Power<br />
Tr<strong>an</strong>sport<br />
Build<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
Industry<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r energy related<br />
Figure 7. Greenhouse-gas emissions <strong>in</strong><br />
2000, by source. Source: Prepared by Stern Review,<br />
from data drawn from World Resources Institute <strong>Climate</strong><br />
Analysis Indicators Tool (CAIT) on-l<strong>in</strong>e database version 3.0.<br />
technological adv<strong>an</strong>ces over <strong>the</strong> past 60<br />
to 100 years that have <strong>of</strong>fered hum<strong>an</strong>k<strong>in</strong>d<br />
countless benefits <strong>an</strong>d conveniences.<br />
These <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> hum<strong>an</strong> activity, however,<br />
have also led to <strong>an</strong> additional release<br />
<strong>of</strong> greenhouse gases that have placed<br />
stress on natural processes.<br />
Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> gases, such as carbon<br />
dioxide, water vapour, meth<strong>an</strong>e, nitrous<br />
oxide, <strong>an</strong>d ozone are <strong>the</strong> result<br />
<strong>of</strong> both natural <strong>an</strong>d hum<strong>an</strong><br />
processes. O<strong>the</strong>rs, notably fluor<strong>in</strong>ated<br />
gases, are generated<br />
solely by hum<strong>an</strong> activities. The<br />
sources <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se gas emissions<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude burn<strong>in</strong>g fossil fuels to<br />
power our way <strong>of</strong> life, <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />
processes, urb<strong>an</strong>isation <strong>an</strong>d<br />
l<strong>an</strong>d use, agriculture <strong>an</strong>d deforestation<br />
(Figure 7 <strong>an</strong>d Box 4).<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>dustrial revolution, concentrations<br />
<strong>of</strong> carbon dioxide <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
atmosphere have <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
nearly 30 per cent (Figure 7),<br />
meth<strong>an</strong>e concentrations have<br />
more th<strong>an</strong> doubled, <strong>an</strong>d nitrous<br />
CO 2 Concentrations (ppmv)<br />
380<br />
360<br />
340<br />
320<br />
300<br />
280<br />
260<br />
0<br />
oxide concentrations have risen by about<br />
15 per cent.<br />
Carbon dioxide <strong>an</strong>d <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />
warm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Carbon dioxide is <strong>the</strong> s<strong>in</strong>gle largest contributor<br />
to <strong>the</strong> enh<strong>an</strong>ced greenhouse<br />
effect. Increases <strong>in</strong> carbon dioxide emissions<br />
account for approximately 70 per<br />
cent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> enh<strong>an</strong>ced greenhouse effect.<br />
Us<strong>in</strong>g ice cores from <strong>the</strong> Antarctic, scientists<br />
estimate that <strong>the</strong> concentration <strong>of</strong><br />
carbon dioxide <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
pre-<strong>in</strong>dustrial era had a value <strong>of</strong> approximately<br />
280 parts per million (ppm). Measurements<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2005 put it at 379 ppm. The<br />
2005 figures also tell a story <strong>of</strong> alarm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
growth. The 2005 carbon dioxide levels<br />
exceeded <strong>the</strong> natural r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong> atmospheric<br />
carbon dioxide over <strong>the</strong> last<br />
650,000 years (180 to 300 ppm). In addition,<br />
even though <strong>the</strong>re has been year to<br />
year variability (at <strong>an</strong> average <strong>of</strong> 1.9 ppm),<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>an</strong>nual growth rate <strong>of</strong> carbon dioxide<br />
concentrations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere was<br />
larger dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 10 years between 1995<br />
<strong>an</strong>d 2005 th<strong>an</strong> it had been s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>of</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>uous direct atmospheric<br />
measurements between 1960 <strong>an</strong>d 2005<br />
(average: 1.4 ppm per year) (IPCC, 2007).<br />
Atmospheric Concentrations<br />
Anthropogenic Emissions<br />
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000<br />
Year<br />
Figure 8. Trends <strong>in</strong> Atmospheric Concentrations <strong>an</strong>d<br />
Anthropogenic Emissions <strong>of</strong> Carbon Dioxide<br />
Source: Oak Ridge National Laboratory.<br />
7.000<br />
6.000<br />
5.000<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.000<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
CO 2 Emissions (million metric tons <strong>of</strong> carbon)<br />
35