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Status of Wisconsin Agriculture 2010 - Agricultural & Applied ...

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<strong>Status</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Wisconsin</strong> <strong>Agriculture</strong>, <strong>2010</strong><br />

Executive Summary<br />

Following two years <strong>of</strong> generally fond memories, most <strong>Wisconsin</strong> farmers suffered through a year<br />

they would like to forget. Livestock producers, especially those selling milk and hogs, faced<br />

severe financial challenges. They received low prices for the products they sold and paid high<br />

prices for the feed they purchased, creating large flows <strong>of</strong> red ink, a rise in accounts payable and a<br />

drop in equity. Weather dealt a nasty end-<strong>of</strong>-year blow to corn and soybean producers. Combines<br />

sat idle in October and early November, normally the peak harvest season, because <strong>of</strong> waterlogged<br />

fields. When they finally started rolling, the combines reaped wet crops that were susceptible to<br />

molds and required extensive, expensive drying.<br />

Total receipts from <strong>Wisconsin</strong> farm marketings dropped by an estimated $1.8 billion (18 percent)<br />

in 2009, with nearly 80 percent <strong>of</strong> that decline resulting from much smaller milk checks. Crop revenue<br />

was <strong>of</strong>f by $270 million, mainly from lower corn prices. The lower crop and livestock sales<br />

receipts were partly <strong>of</strong>fset by cheaper fertilizer, fuel and feed and higher government payments<br />

(mainly Milk Income Loss Contract payments to dairy farmers). But these <strong>of</strong>fsets did little to<br />

staunch the bleeding. <strong>Wisconsin</strong> net farm income in 2009 was under 2008 by an estimated $1.45<br />

billion—a fall-<strong>of</strong>f <strong>of</strong> 56 percent.<br />

<strong>Wisconsin</strong> farmers began the year in a strong financial position, with the lowest ratio <strong>of</strong> debt to<br />

assets in at least 50 years. They finished it weakened by a loss <strong>of</strong> asset value and increased debt.<br />

Dairy farmers alone saw their equity fall by an estimated $1.8 billion. Losses were concentrated<br />

among larger dairy operations, which had fewer belt-tightening options. These larger farms also<br />

carry more debt per dollar <strong>of</strong> sales, making them more vulnerable to the restrictions on credit that<br />

have come with the recent financial crisis. But despite serious financial problems for some, <strong>Wisconsin</strong><br />

dairy farms as a whole entered <strong>2010</strong> with a debt-to-asset ratio <strong>of</strong> about 0.18, which is generally<br />

considered to be a robust financial position in the business world.<br />

Review <strong>of</strong> 2009<br />

The U.S. economy was dominated in 2009 by what has been tagged as the “Great Recession.”<br />

High unemployment cut consumer spending, affecting both the amount and type <strong>of</strong> food purchased.<br />

The Great Recession was not confined to the United States. Global economic woes cut<br />

world trade by almost 12 percent in 2009. The value <strong>of</strong> U.S. exports <strong>of</strong> all farm goods was down<br />

15 percent. Dairy exports were <strong>of</strong>f 50 percent.<br />

Farmers’ production costs were generally lower in 2009. Fertilizer prices were down about onethird<br />

and gas and diesel prices were about 10 percent less. But LP gas prices shot up near year-end<br />

because <strong>of</strong> heavy demand to dry abnormally wet corn. Interest rates on farm loans remained low,<br />

but some farmers had trouble getting credit. Farmland rents went up slightly, but stayed below the<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> servicing a mortgage to purchase the same land.<br />

For dairy farmers, the year began with a bang—the sound <strong>of</strong> milk prices hitting the floor. By February,<br />

the <strong>Wisconsin</strong> All-Milk price had dropped $9/hundredweight behind year-earlier levels and<br />

that gap continued until fall. The crash in milk prices was caused in large part by evaporating<br />

iv STATUS OF WISCONSIN AGRICULTURE <strong>2010</strong>—EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

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