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New Statistical Algorithms for the Analysis of Mass - FU Berlin, FB MI ...

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94 CHAPTER 4. (BIO-)MEDICAL APPLICATIONS<br />

Figure 4.4.11: Classification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> training set and test sets in 10-fold-stratified<br />

cross-validation <strong>for</strong> marker-positive seminoma patients vs. healthy controls (CM10<br />

ProteinChip � )<br />

Figure 4.4.12: Classification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> training set and test sets in 10-fold-stratified<br />

cross-validation <strong>for</strong> marker-negative seminoma patients vs healthy controls, (CM10<br />

ProteinChip � )<br />

Assessment <strong>of</strong> beta-HCG-positive seminoma vs. control subjects yielded<br />

comparable but less significant results. Due to <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> peaks with an<br />

adequate height difference, only three peaks were selected <strong>for</strong> analysis (CM10<br />

ProteinChip � ). The highest number <strong>of</strong> significant peaks were found in a mass<br />

range <strong>of</strong> 3800-8000 Da. Marker-positive seminomas were correctly predicted in<br />

67.6% (decision trees, 95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 50.2%-81.9%), 78.4% (neural<br />

networks, 95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 61.8%-90.2%), and 75.8% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cases<br />

(support vector machines, 95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 58.8%-88.2%). The<br />

three analytical methods had adequate sensitivities ranging between 76.5% and<br />

88.2%. Their specificities were likewise adequate at 60% (decision trees), 75%<br />

(neural networks), and 65% (support vector machines), respectively. Three<br />

different peaks (3.80 kDa; 4.98 kDa; 7.97 kDa) were chosen to create a fingerprint.<br />

Figure 4.4.11 displays <strong>the</strong> corresponding sensitivities and specificities. Decision<br />

trees achieved 80% sensitivity and 70% specificity in discriminating<br />

between beta-HCG-negative seminoma and control subjects.<br />

Figure 4.4.12 shows decision trees, neural networks, and support vector<br />

machine analyses. The rates <strong>of</strong> correctly classified subjects in all groups are<br />

71.1%-75.7% (CM10 ProteinChip � , 95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 60.7%-87.1%<br />

<strong>for</strong> decision trees; 95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 60.7%-87.1% <strong>for</strong> neural networks;<br />

95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 55.7%-83.6% <strong>for</strong> support vector machines; molecular<br />

masses: 6.94 kDa; 7.76 kDa; 8.63 kDa; 8.69 kDa). The CM10 ProteinChip<br />

� achieved excellent differentiation between seminoma and control subjects,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> IMAC-Cu+ chip yielded significantly less precise results. The combination<br />

<strong>of</strong> 6 peaks (4.19 kDa, 6.37 kDa, 7.76 kDa, 7.93 kDa, 7.97 kDa and<br />

9.29 kDa) predicted cancer patients in 60.6%-76.6% (decision trees, neural<br />

networks and support vector machines) with a sensitivity <strong>of</strong> 27.6% to 76.6%<br />

and a specificity <strong>of</strong> 76.6% to 93.6% (Figure 4.4.13) in <strong>the</strong> 10-fold stratified<br />

cross-validation (95% confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 67.9%-85.6%, decision trees; 95%<br />

confidence interval <strong>of</strong> 64.4% -74.4%, neural networks; 95% confidence interval<br />

<strong>of</strong> 50.0% - 60.4%, support vector machines).

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