New Statistical Algorithms for the Analysis of Mass - FU Berlin, FB MI ...
New Statistical Algorithms for the Analysis of Mass - FU Berlin, FB MI ...
New Statistical Algorithms for the Analysis of Mass - FU Berlin, FB MI ...
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4.2. STATISTICAL REMARKS 69<br />
1. Validity: characterizes how well a measure reflects <strong>the</strong> system properties<br />
it was supposed to represent.<br />
2. Reliability (or precision): addresses <strong>the</strong> consistency or repeatability <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> measurement process.<br />
3. Amplitude: how well a measure represents abstract or higher order constructs<br />
and complex properties.<br />
4.2.2 Making Errors<br />
Measurements are generally made through <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> a measurement instrument,<br />
which is based on a scale that should have <strong>the</strong> same underlying relationships<br />
as <strong>the</strong> system property being measured. Formally put, a scale is a<br />
predefined mapping from one domain to ano<strong>the</strong>r (e.g. <strong>the</strong> volume expansion <strong>of</strong><br />
mercury to degrees <strong>of</strong> Celsius). The mappings can <strong>of</strong> course induce uncertainty<br />
e.g. through <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> fuzzy scales to represent <strong>the</strong> degree to which a property<br />
is considered present (Benoit and Foulloy, 2003). Obviously, <strong>the</strong> construction<br />
<strong>of</strong> a scale can be a source <strong>of</strong> error as well as each observation itself, which is<br />
a random variable with an underlying distribution (Potter, 2000). Basically,<br />
<strong>the</strong>re are four primary sources <strong>of</strong> measurement error:<br />
� Random error: non-deterministic variation from any source impacting<br />
<strong>the</strong> system including <strong>the</strong> system itself.<br />
� Systemic error: derives from construction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> measure or definition <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> measurement process and comes in <strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> measurement bias.<br />
� Observational error: <strong>the</strong> oversight <strong>of</strong> key system properties requiring<br />
measurement or using <strong>the</strong> wrong measures <strong>for</strong> identified system properties.<br />
� Experimental error: <strong>the</strong> influence <strong>of</strong> environment conditions (such as<br />
temperature, air pressure, or response time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> operator) which affects<br />
<strong>the</strong> measurement process<br />
These errors create divergences between <strong>the</strong> perceived state <strong>of</strong> a system<br />
and <strong>the</strong> true state and can yield misleading insights and thus, must be addressed<br />
in any measurement framework. They will be part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> measurement<br />
process even when <strong>the</strong> system is welldefined (Krantz et al., 1971). Error is<br />
an inescapable feature <strong>of</strong> measurement (Mitchell, 2003) and can be partially<br />
addressed with statistical <strong>the</strong>ory as described in chapter 3.<br />
4.2.3 Experiment and Inference<br />
As mentioned in <strong>the</strong> previous sections when experiments are carried out, <strong>the</strong><br />
results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> measurements and <strong>the</strong> subsequent statistical analyses are <strong>of</strong>ten<br />
stated in <strong>the</strong> language <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics or, more precisely, in that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory<br />
<strong>of</strong> probability. These ma<strong>the</strong>matical statements have <strong>the</strong> beauty <strong>of</strong> being<br />
objective, precise and clear. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, this might induce people to<br />
hide inadequate experimentation behind a brilliant (ma<strong>the</strong>matical) facade. A<br />
fact, un<strong>for</strong>tunately <strong>of</strong>ten seen in scientific publications. Let discuss a simple<br />
example: data consisting <strong>of</strong> two columns <strong>of</strong> numbers, say x and y, can always