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Expert article 873 Baltic Rim Economies, 21.12.2011 Quarterly Review 5�2011 Foresight for EU-Russia S&T and innovation cooperation By Vicente Carabias, Karel Haegeman, Alexander Sokolov, Manfred Spiesberger, Klaus Schuch, and Irina R. Kuklina Science and Technology (S&T) and Innovation cooperation between the EU, its Member States (MS), Countries Associated (AC) to the EU’s 7th Framework Programme for RTD (FP7), and Russia is developing dynamically at the multilateral as well as bilateral levels. In this context and in the frame of the EU-FP7 funded ERA.Net RUS project, a foresight exercise is being implemented. Structural and thematic scenarios for a sustainable S&T and Innovation (STI) cooperation between the countries involved are currently being developed with the time perspective 2020. Foresight results shall provide a basis for a joint STI funding programme and will be fed into the policy making process on STI cooperation between EU MS/AC and Russia. EU-Russia S&T and innovation cooperation Support for innovation has come high on the policy agenda both in the European Union (e.g. Europe 2020 Flagship Initiative Innovation Union), as well as within Russia (e.g. Skolkovo Innovation Center near Moscow). While the EU strives to further strengthen its innovative capacities, Russia needs to catch up on innovation and acquire related know-how. At the same time cooperation in STI has been developing dynamically over the past years between Russia, the EU, its Member States, and Associated Countries to the FP7. Cooperation is ongoing on a broad scale both multilaterally and bilaterally. At the multilateral EU level, the EU’s Framework Programme encompassing research as well as innovation and the EURATOM Framework Programme (FPs) are the main cooperation forums. Russia has consistently been one of the most active non-EU and non-AC participants in the FPs. Through joint calls for research and innovation projects launched by the EU and Russia within the FPs (“coordinated calls”) in various scientific fields (e.g. aeronautics, biotechnology, energy, health, nanotechnology, nuclear fission), cooperation has been intensified. Russia has funded in these projects its participating teams from own national resources. The further development of the cooperation process is fraught with uncertainty. While there are positive signals indicating a dynamic development of cooperation, such as new funding schemes within the ERA.Net RUS project, the strengthening of bilateral cooperation and the trend of Russia opening up to international STI cooperation, we also observe some signs of stagnation. This concerns, for example, the decision of the EU to not open negotiations on the possible association of Russia to the FP7; instead a new strategic partnership in S&T shall be built, which is still vague. Moreover, uncertainties of politics within the EU and Russia, as well as international politics always have the potential for disrupting a further rapprochement. Foresight exploring future EU-Russia relationships In this context of developing EU-Russia STI relationships, a foresight exercise running from 2010-2012 is being implemented in the frame of the ERA.Net RUS project. The foresight activities will provide an analytical basis for a future sustainable cooperation policy in STI between EU MS/AC and Russia. At the core of the foresight process is the preparation of structural and thematic scenarios for STI 24 cooperation with a time perspective up to 2020. The development of this cooperation will be directed towards addressing societal and economic challenges that both the EU and Russia are most likely to face in the future. In the first phase of the ERA.Net RUS project from 2009-2010, substantial analytical work was performed by the project consortium, including reports on the Russian S&T system and its funding, on experience of Russian participation in ERA.Nets and on an analysis of bilateral cooperation. The analytical work was supported through a focus group meeting with scientists, which tested for strengths and weaknesses of the Russian S&T funding system. In addition a comprehensive survey was conducted among the most relevant European and Russian funding organisations to take stock of the substance of bilateral STI funding instruments that are already in place. The mentioned ERA.Net RUS analytical reports can be accessed through www.eranet-rus.eu. This preparatory work provided a solid basis and valuable input for starting up the ERA.Net RUS foresight exercise: In the framework of the structural scenario development, a “Creativity Workshop” gave room to discussing the critical variables and defining the underlying dimensions allowing to differentiate scenarios. The ERA.Net RUS foresight partners selected four scenarios for EU-Russia STI cooperation in 2020 and elaborated them in more detail: They outlined one optimistic (“R&D policy paradise”), one pessimistic (“Lost in diverging priorities”) and two intermediate (“Isolated R&D excellence”, “Empty cooperation programming shell”) scenarios through storytelling, collection of main arguments, assessment of impact variables and drafting of roadmaps necessary to make the scenarios happen. The resulting scenarios were then validated and further developed through expert workshops with policy makers, representatives of funding organisations and researchers. Additional feedback will be gathered from the participants of the initial creativity workshop. In an online survey European and Russian scientists will be addressed to validate thematic priorities, which have been identified as relevant for future EU-Russia STI cooperation. In addition, this expert assessment will help to single out more specific topics under the broader priorities. By cross-checking the EU and Russian thematic S&T priorities, one can confirm that priorities are evolving in the same direction, especially with regard to S&T programmes in the fields of energy, health, nanotechnology, transport. It is worth mentioning that the comparison of priorities revealed a strong focus on technological implementation (incl. biotechnology). While the EU emphasizes thematic fields supporting a sustainable development, i.e. food, water and energy security, climate change, the Russian Federation highlights apart from the similar topics environment, life sciences and nature management also information and telecommunication systems. Furthermore, in a broad Delphi survey the resulting structural and thematic scenarios will be assessed on probability and desirability as well as on their relevance for value creation, for policy development and for advancement in STI. � Pan-European Institute � To receive a free copy please register at www.tse.fi/pei �
Expert article 873 Baltic Rim Economies, 21.12.2011 Quarterly Review 5�2011 Foresight results will be fed into the policy making process on STI cooperation between EU MS/AC and Russia. The foresight results will provide a basis for developing a joint STI funding programme and for coordinating STI efforts for better facing joint future societal and economic challenges. DISCLAIMER: “Please note that the European Commission is not affiliated with this publication and the opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect its position or opinion”. ERA.Net RUS foresight partners: Vicente Carabias Scientific Officer JRC-IPTS Institute for Prospective Technological Studies European Commission Karel Haegeman Scientific Officer JRC-IPTS Institute for Prospective Technological Studies European Commission Alexander Sokolov Deputy Institute Director HSE Higher School of Economics Moscow Russia 25 Manfred Spiesberger Project Manager & Researcher ZSI Centre for Social Innovation Austria Klaus Schuch Managing Director ZSI ZSI Centre for Social Innovation Austria Irina R. Kuklina Executive Director ICISTE International Centre for Innovations in Science, Technology and Education Russia � Pan-European Institute � To receive a free copy please register at www.tse.fi/pei �
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