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Baltic Rim Economies - Baltic Port List

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Expert article 855 <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Rim</strong> <strong>Economies</strong>, 21.12.2011 Quarterly Review 5�2011<br />

The new threats to Northern-Europe<br />

By Mart Laar<br />

It is largely known, that security in the <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea region has<br />

been concern to nearly all countries around the <strong>Baltic</strong> See.<br />

This has not been “the Sea of Peace”. For centuries the<br />

<strong>Baltic</strong> Seas has actually been “the See of wars”. Wars on<br />

the <strong>Baltic</strong> See were nearly permanent, devastating all<br />

countries around. Even on the times, when the<br />

confrontation was not “hot” as during the times of the Cold<br />

War, was all the area extremely militarized. Peace arrived<br />

to the <strong>Baltic</strong> See after the collapse of the Soviet Union. By<br />

now nearly all countries around the <strong>Baltic</strong> See had joined<br />

either European Union or NATO or both. For some time it<br />

looked so as history had ended for the <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea countries.<br />

This was a very naïve hope. By now history has<br />

returned to the <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea. Russia’s strong military buildup<br />

and rearmament program have made this clear to<br />

everybody. During next year Russia’s military budget will<br />

grow more as 20%. Kreml is demonstrating its muscles on<br />

every occasion, taking more and more confronting line<br />

towards NATO. Huge part of this military buildup is<br />

concentrating to <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea region, where Russia’s military<br />

strength is significantly increased. This does not include<br />

only agressive exercises, but also development of newest<br />

weapon systems here, including new missiles and radars. It<br />

is hard to say, why all this is done, but Russia is Russia.<br />

For the <strong>Baltic</strong> See countries this nevertheless means need<br />

for more cooperation.<br />

A month ago the Defense Ministers of <strong>Baltic</strong> and Nordic<br />

countries gathered to meeting in Örebrö in Sweden. In<br />

discussions participated also Defense Minister of Great<br />

Britain and high level representatives from United States,<br />

Germany, Netherlands and Poland. Soon this fact<br />

demonstrates clearly how far the cooperation among<br />

countries around the <strong>Baltic</strong> See and Northern-Europe has<br />

gone. Northern-Europe’s understanding of defense is not<br />

always similar to other EU countries. Several countries are<br />

actually swimming here against common European tide.<br />

Sweden is not anymore neutral country, but participating in<br />

international missions as in Libya. When in most countries<br />

defense budgets are going down, then in Estonia it will<br />

reach 2% from GDP. When many countries in Europe have<br />

given away their conscript army, then Finland and Estonia<br />

not.<br />

At the same time, countries gathered in Örebrö had<br />

very similar understandings in all main areas and<br />

questions, cooperation between then is strong and real.<br />

They also raised Europe’s attention to several new threats<br />

to our security in modern World. One of them is cyber<br />

threat.<br />

Only some years ago these threats looked mostly<br />

theoretical. By now they have become real. First this was<br />

realized by Estonia. Cyber attacks against Estonia (a<br />

country where we vote online in national elections and<br />

conduct 98% of our banking over the internet) in 2007<br />

nearly undermined the functioning of our society. Cyber<br />

attacks embody the fundamental trait of new security<br />

threats – they target our societies’ dependence on<br />

technology, trade and openness. They are a cheap and<br />

effective tool that advantage the attacker and can be used<br />

by states, criminals, terrorists, organized crime, and<br />

empowered individuals. Effective cyber security is not<br />

cheap and requires unprecedented cooperation between<br />

civil and military authorities, the public and private sector.<br />

3<br />

Europe’s comprehensive approach to security fits the<br />

threats we face from cyberspace, but the EU has been<br />

slow to react to changing circumstances. Member states<br />

policies could be far better coordinated. The EU has in the<br />

last year been victim to several embarrassing attacks in<br />

which gigabytes of sensitive data were lifted from<br />

Commission, Council and Parliament computers.<br />

At the same time cyber security issues are enormously<br />

important namely for Northern Europe. It is largely known<br />

that largely thanks to their fast development in e-area these<br />

countries are specially vulnerable to all possible cyber<br />

attacks. Recent cyber attacks against Finland with<br />

significant political context are sad example of these new<br />

threats. Strong e-development is at the same time strong<br />

asset to fight these attacks. When we can share our<br />

knowlidge and experience Northern countries can do lot of<br />

good not only for themselves but for all Europe.<br />

That was the reason, why in Örebrö was decided to<br />

start to work on Nordic cyber defense detachment, what we<br />

can offer when it is needed to European Common Defense<br />

and Security policy. At the beginning of the next year<br />

experts from the Nordic countries will arrive to Tallinn to<br />

NATO’s Cyber Defence Center of Excellence to prepare<br />

concrete steps toward common activities in the field of<br />

cyber security.<br />

Other fields of cooperation are also discussed among<br />

so called NB8. Both European Union and NATO are talking<br />

about the need to cooperate more. In NATO it is called<br />

“smart defense”, in EU “sharing and pooling”. NB 8 had<br />

done soon before they were called to do this. Common<br />

procurement – by example Estonian-Finnish radar<br />

procurement or cooperation in <strong>Baltic</strong> Defense College are<br />

only some examples how useful such common projects can<br />

be. In Örebro several other possibilities for enhanced<br />

cooperation were discussed, by example common<br />

exercises. This all can strengthen security around the <strong>Baltic</strong><br />

Sea and giving more possibilities to raise the share of NB 8<br />

in Europe. There has been lot of talk on economic or<br />

environment cooperation in the <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea area, now has<br />

arrived time to step up with the defense cooperation also.<br />

Mart Laar<br />

Defence Minister<br />

Estonian Ministry of Defence<br />

Estonia<br />

� Pan-European Institute � To receive a free copy please register at www.tse.fi/pei �

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