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Practical Ship Hydrodynamics

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<strong>Ship</strong> seakeeping 137<br />

changing sea spectra. A typical example for T is the total operational time<br />

of a ship. A quantity of interest is the average occurrence zL⊲rA⊳ of cases<br />

when the reaction r⊲t⊳ exceeds the limit rA. The average can be thought of<br />

as the average over many hypothetical realizations, e.g. many equivalently<br />

operated sister ships.<br />

First, one determines the occurrence z⊲rA; H1/3,Tp, 0⊳ of exceeding the<br />

limit in a stationary seaway with characteristics H1/3, Tp, and 0 during total<br />

time T. (See section 4.4.6 for linear ship reactions and section 4.4.7 for nonlinear<br />

ship reactions.) The weighted average of the occurrences in various<br />

seaways is formed. The weighing factor is the probability p⊲H1/3,Tp, 0⊳<br />

that the ship encounters the specific seaway:<br />

zL⊲rA⊳ D � � �<br />

z⊲rA; H1/3,Tp, 0⊳p⊲H1/3,Tp, 0⊳<br />

all H1/3<br />

all Tp<br />

all 0<br />

Usually, for simplification it is assumed that the ship encounters seaways with<br />

the same probability under n encounter angles 0:<br />

zL⊲rA⊳ D 1<br />

n<br />

�<br />

all H1/3<br />

�<br />

all Tp<br />

n<br />

�<br />

z⊲rA; H1/3,Tp, 0i⊳p⊲H1/3,Tp⊳<br />

iD1<br />

The probability p⊲H1/3,Tp⊳ for encountering a specific seaway can be estimated<br />

using data as given in Table 4.2. If the ship would operate exclusively in<br />

the ocean area for Table 4.2, the table values (divided by 10 6 ) could be taken<br />

directly. This is not the case in practice and requires corrections. A customary<br />

correction then is to base the calculation only on 1/50 or 1/100 of the actual<br />

operating time of the ship. This correction considers, e.g.:<br />

ž The ship usually operates in areas with not quite so strong seaways as given<br />

in Table 4.2.<br />

ž The ship tries to avoid particularly strong seaways.<br />

ž The ship reduces speed or changes course relative to the dominant wave<br />

direction, if it cannot avoid a particularly strong seaway.<br />

ž Some exceedence of rA is not important, e.g. for bending moments if they<br />

occur in load conditions when the ship has only a small calm-water bending<br />

moment.<br />

The sum distribution of the amplitudes rA, i.e. the probability that an amplitude<br />

r is less than a limit rA, follows from zL:<br />

PL⊲rA⊳ D 1<br />

zL⊲rA⊳<br />

zL⊲0⊳<br />

zL⊲0⊳ is the number of amplitudes during the considered period T. This distribution<br />

is used for seakeeping loads in fatigue strength analyses of the ship<br />

structure. It is often only slightly different from an exponential distribution,<br />

i.e. it has approximately the sum distribution:<br />

PL⊲rA⊳ D 1 e rA/r0<br />

where r0 is a constant describing the load intensity. (In fatigue strength analyses,<br />

often the logarithm of the exceedence probability log⊲1 PL⊳ is plotted

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