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Past Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and at High Latitudes

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26<br />

The U.S. <strong>Clim<strong>at</strong>e</strong> Science Program Chapter 2<br />

<strong>Clim<strong>at</strong>e</strong> changed <strong>in</strong><br />

large abrupt jumps (see<br />

section 4.4.3) dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

most recent of <strong>the</strong> glacial<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervals <strong>and</strong> probably<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g earlier ones.<br />

Mov<strong>in</strong>g toward <strong>the</strong> present, <strong>the</strong> number of available<br />

records <strong>in</strong>creases gre<strong>at</strong>ly, as does typical<br />

time resolution of <strong>the</strong> records <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> accuracy<br />

of d<strong>at</strong><strong>in</strong>g (see section 3.4). The large ice-age<br />

cycl<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> last 0.9 m.y. produced growth<br />

<strong>and</strong> retre<strong>at</strong> of extensive ice sheets across broad<br />

regions of North America <strong>and</strong> Eurasia, as well<br />

as smaller extensions of ice <strong>in</strong> GreenlAnd,<br />

Antarctica, <strong>and</strong> many mounta<strong>in</strong>ous areas. Ice <strong>in</strong><br />

North America covered New York <strong>and</strong> Chicago,<br />

for example. The w<strong>at</strong>er th<strong>at</strong> composed those ice<br />

sheets had been removed from <strong>the</strong> oceans, caus<strong>in</strong>g<br />

non-ice-covered coastl<strong>in</strong>es typically to lie<br />

well beyond modern boundaries. Melt<strong>in</strong>g of ice<br />

sheets exposed l<strong>and</strong> th<strong>at</strong> had been ice-covered<br />

<strong>and</strong> submerged coastal l<strong>and</strong>, but with a rel<strong>at</strong>ively<br />

small net effect (e.g., Kump <strong>and</strong> Alley, 1994).<br />

The ice-age cycl<strong>in</strong>g caused large temper<strong>at</strong>ure<br />

changes, of many degrees to tens of degrees <strong>in</strong><br />

some places (see Chapter 3, Temper<strong>at</strong>ure <strong>and</strong><br />

Precipit<strong>at</strong>ion History of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Arctic</strong>).<br />

<strong>Clim<strong>at</strong>e</strong> changed <strong>in</strong> large abrupt jumps (see section<br />

4.4.3) dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> most recent of <strong>the</strong> glacial<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervals <strong>and</strong> probably dur<strong>in</strong>g earlier ones. In<br />

records from near <strong>the</strong> north AtlAntic such as<br />

GreenlAnd ice cores, roughly half of <strong>the</strong> total<br />

difference between glacial <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>terglacial<br />

conditions was achieved (as recorded by many<br />

clim<strong>at</strong>e-change <strong>in</strong>dic<strong>at</strong>ors) <strong>in</strong> time spans of<br />

decades to years. <strong>Change</strong>s away from <strong>the</strong> north<br />

AtlAntic were notably smaller, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> far<br />

south <strong>the</strong> changes appear to see-saw (sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

warm<strong>in</strong>g with nor<strong>the</strong>rn cool<strong>in</strong>g). The “shape”<br />

of <strong>the</strong> clim<strong>at</strong>e records is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g: nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

records typically show abrupt warm<strong>in</strong>g, gradual<br />

cool<strong>in</strong>g, abrupt cool<strong>in</strong>g, near-stability or slight<br />

gradual warm<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong>y repe<strong>at</strong> (see<br />

Figure 5.9).<br />

The most recent <strong>in</strong>terglacial <strong>in</strong>terval has<br />

lasted slightly more than 10,000 years. Generally<br />

warm conditions have prevailed compared<br />

with <strong>the</strong> average of <strong>the</strong> last 0.9 m.y. However,<br />

important changes have been observed. These<br />

changes <strong>in</strong>clude broad warm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n<br />

cool<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> only millennia, abrupt events probably<br />

l<strong>in</strong>ked to <strong>the</strong> older abrupt changes, <strong>and</strong><br />

additional events with various spac<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>and</strong><br />

sizes th<strong>at</strong> have a range of causes, which will be<br />

described more <strong>in</strong> Chapters 3 (Temper<strong>at</strong>ure <strong>and</strong><br />

Precipit<strong>at</strong>ion History of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Arctic</strong>) <strong>and</strong> 4 (<strong>Past</strong><br />

R<strong>at</strong>es of <strong>Clim<strong>at</strong>e</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Arctic</strong>).<br />

2.5 CHRONOLOGY<br />

In any discussion of past clim<strong>at</strong>e periods, we<br />

must use a time scale underst<strong>and</strong>able to all<br />

readers. Beyond <strong>the</strong> historical period, <strong>the</strong>n,<br />

we must use time periods th<strong>at</strong> are with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

realm of geology. In this report, we use two sets<br />

of term<strong>in</strong>ology for prehistoric time periods,<br />

one for <strong>the</strong> longer history of Earth <strong>and</strong> one for<br />

much more recent Earth history, approxim<strong>at</strong>ely<br />

<strong>the</strong> past 2.6 m.y. (<strong>the</strong> Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary Period). For<br />

<strong>the</strong> longer period of Earth history, we use <strong>the</strong><br />

term<strong>in</strong>ology <strong>and</strong> time scale adopted by <strong>the</strong> Intern<strong>at</strong>ional<br />

Commission on Str<strong>at</strong>igraphy (Ogg,<br />

2004). This time scale is well established <strong>and</strong><br />

has been widely accepted throughout <strong>the</strong> geologic<br />

community. The Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary Period is<br />

<strong>the</strong> youngest geologic period <strong>in</strong> this time scale,<br />

<strong>and</strong> it constitutes <strong>the</strong> past approxim<strong>at</strong>ely 2.6 m.y.<br />

(http://www.str<strong>at</strong>igraphy.org/gssp.htm; Jansen et<br />

al., 2007) (Figure 2.10). The Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary Period<br />

is of particular <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> this report, because<br />

this time <strong>in</strong>terval is characterized by dram<strong>at</strong>ic<br />

changes—between glacial <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>terglacial—<br />

<strong>in</strong> clim<strong>at</strong>e.<br />

Some problems are associ<strong>at</strong>ed with <strong>the</strong> use<br />

of time scales with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary Period.<br />

These problems are common to all geologic<br />

d<strong>at</strong><strong>in</strong>g, but <strong>the</strong>y assume additional importance<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary because <strong>the</strong> focus dur<strong>in</strong>g this<br />

geologically short, recent period is on rel<strong>at</strong>ively<br />

short-lived events. Very few geologic records<br />

for <strong>the</strong> Qu<strong>at</strong>ernary Period are cont<strong>in</strong>uous, well<br />

d<strong>at</strong>ed, <strong>and</strong> applicable to all o<strong>the</strong>r records of<br />

clim<strong>at</strong>e change. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, many geologic<br />

deposits preserve records of events th<strong>at</strong> are<br />

time-transgressive or diachronous. Th<strong>at</strong> is,<br />

a particular geologic event is recorded earlier<br />

<strong>at</strong> one geographic loc<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>and</strong> l<strong>at</strong>er <strong>at</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

A good example of time-transgression is <strong>the</strong><br />

most recent deglaci<strong>at</strong>ion of mid-cont<strong>in</strong>ent<br />

North America, <strong>the</strong> retre<strong>at</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Laurentide<br />

ice Sheet. Although this retre<strong>at</strong> marked a major<br />

shift <strong>in</strong> a clim<strong>at</strong>e st<strong>at</strong>e, from a glacial period to<br />

an <strong>in</strong>terglacial period, by its very n<strong>at</strong>ure it occurred<br />

<strong>at</strong> different times <strong>in</strong> different places. In<br />

midcont<strong>in</strong>ental North America, <strong>the</strong> lAurentide<br />

ice Sheet had begun to retre<strong>at</strong> from its sou<strong>the</strong>rnmost<br />

position <strong>in</strong> central Ill<strong>in</strong>ois after about<br />

22.6 ka, but it was still present <strong>in</strong> wh<strong>at</strong> is now<br />

nor<strong>the</strong>rn Ill<strong>in</strong>ois until after about 15.1 ka, <strong>and</strong><br />

it was still present <strong>in</strong> Wiscons<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> Michigan

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