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Habitat use and population dynamics of the Azure-Winged Magpie ...

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e explained by <strong>the</strong> formula which <strong>use</strong>d <strong>the</strong> re-sighting rate (p) generated in MARK analysis,<br />

which was constant throughout <strong>the</strong> four years for adults <strong>and</strong> juveniles (Fig. 3.15; Results). This<br />

formula does not take into account existing fluctuations <strong>of</strong> colony size between seasons within<br />

each year. In 2009, ca. 20 non-breeders left <strong>the</strong> colony after <strong>the</strong> breeding season <strong>and</strong> were not<br />

sighted again that season. The formula could not incorporate information about individuals that<br />

disappeared within a season, <strong>and</strong> thus overestimated <strong>the</strong> colony size for 2009. The discrepancies<br />

between <strong>the</strong> two methods <strong>of</strong> estimation could also be due to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> unb<strong>and</strong>ed individuals<br />

present in <strong>the</strong> colony, hence making <strong>the</strong> visual estimation a more reliable method. Visual<br />

estimation <strong>use</strong>d in this study <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r studies from Gantulga Bay<strong>and</strong>onoi are ra<strong>the</strong>r accurate as<br />

search attempts for C. cyanus were consistent (i.e. more than one search attempt each day, from<br />

May to September).<br />

As expected, <strong>the</strong> survival <strong>of</strong> adults dropped significantly after <strong>the</strong> fire in 2009. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

analysis showed no variation in juvenile survival rates between years (2006-2010). Even more<br />

surprising was that juvenile survival was higher than that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> adults in three years (2006-2007,<br />

2007-2008, 2009-2010), even in <strong>the</strong> year after <strong>the</strong> big fire. After <strong>the</strong> fire event, helping behaviour<br />

was observed (Gantulga, 2010). Perhaps <strong>the</strong> help that juveniles received as nestlings that year<br />

increased <strong>the</strong>ir chances <strong>of</strong> survival to fledging <strong>and</strong> independence. Studies done in two Iberian<br />

<strong>population</strong>s found that <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> helpers significantly increased <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> fledglings<br />

(Valencia et al., 2003; Canário et al., 2004). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, Valencia et al. (2006) found that C.<br />

cyanus fledglings raised in nests with helpers had better immune response than those without.<br />

The survival rate <strong>of</strong> adult C. cyanus in <strong>the</strong> Khonin Nuga colony during normal years is<br />

comparable to adult C. cyanus in <strong>the</strong> Spanish <strong>population</strong> (50% annual survival rate; C de la Cruz,<br />

pers. comm.). Survival rates <strong>of</strong> juveniles are potentially similar to those <strong>of</strong> adults beca<strong>use</strong> once<br />

fledglings leave nests <strong>and</strong> can fly, <strong>the</strong>ir predation rate drops as fewer predators can take <strong>the</strong>m<br />

(pers. obs.). However, <strong>the</strong>ir survival rate should be lower as <strong>the</strong>y are not as experienced <strong>and</strong> agile<br />

as an adult in avoiding predators.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> MARK analysis, I defined juveniles as birds that have fledged <strong>and</strong> up till one year <strong>of</strong> age,<br />

whereas adults encompass all individuals older than one year. The lower survival rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

adults compared to juveniles could be due to a large number <strong>of</strong> older birds present in <strong>the</strong> colony.<br />

As this colony <strong>of</strong> Cyanopica cyanus has only been intensively studied since 2007, <strong>the</strong>re are a<br />

large number <strong>of</strong> birds <strong>of</strong> unknown age <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re are no studies elsewhere documenting survival<br />

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