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Spatial distribution of emissions to air - the SPREAD model

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24<br />

and Environmental Planning slightly modified by adding a small number<br />

<strong>of</strong> urban areas from a zone map from AIS in 1999 (Levin, 2009).<br />

ADT <strong>of</strong> roads in urban areas is determined for each grid cell based on <strong>the</strong><br />

assumption that roadwork is distributed in <strong>the</strong> same proportion as <strong>the</strong><br />

area <strong>of</strong> urban and rural areas within each grid cell. This approach is chosen<br />

over an analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> entire road network since it is far less labour<br />

intensive and since it is assumed that <strong>the</strong> benefit <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal uncertainty<br />

will be insignificant, <strong>the</strong> purpose (<strong>model</strong>ling <strong>of</strong> <strong>air</strong> quality) taken in<strong>to</strong> account.<br />

The same approach is applied for roads in rural areas. Figure 3.3<br />

shows <strong>the</strong> traffic load for passenger cars on <strong>the</strong> Danish road network aggregated<br />

on <strong>the</strong> 1x1 km grid.<br />

Figure 3.3 Traffic load for passenger cars including two-wheelers on <strong>the</strong> Danish road network according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> National<br />

Road and Traffic Database (NRTD).<br />

A set <strong>of</strong> <strong>distribution</strong> keys based on ADT for <strong>the</strong> nine categories is set up<br />

in a Micros<strong>of</strong>t Access database <strong>model</strong> for subsequent data processing. A<br />

number <strong>of</strong> checks are run <strong>to</strong> test <strong>the</strong> <strong>model</strong> e.g. sum check <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal<br />

ADT. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, a visual validation is made in GIS <strong>to</strong> ensure that all grid<br />

cells with an associated ADT are located on land or at <strong>the</strong> road network<br />

including piers and bridges. A grid net covering a square around <strong>the</strong><br />

Danish economic zone is applied <strong>to</strong> ensure that cells outside <strong>the</strong> border<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Danish area <strong>of</strong> land is not lost during data processing.<br />

The Danish emission inven<strong>to</strong>ry system includes mileage comparable <strong>to</strong><br />

ADT in NRTD. Deviations between ADT and mileage are expected as<br />

<strong>the</strong>y are based on different input data and methodology. The deviations<br />

owe <strong>to</strong> differences in assumptions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal ADT and <strong>to</strong> difference in<br />

<strong>the</strong> estimation <strong>of</strong> traffic loads for <strong>the</strong> road and vehicle categories. A comparison<br />

<strong>of</strong> ADT and mileage is made <strong>to</strong> identify and quantify <strong>the</strong> devia-

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