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Panalpina Annual Report 2006

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<strong>Report</strong> of the Executive Board<br />

16 <strong>Panalpina</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2006</strong><br />

Quarterly development of the core activities<br />

Air freight Ocean freight Supply chain management<br />

in million CHF<br />

2,250<br />

2,000<br />

1,750<br />

1,500<br />

1,250<br />

1,000<br />

750<br />

500<br />

250<br />

248<br />

535<br />

734<br />

315<br />

675<br />

844<br />

Q1/05<br />

Q1/06<br />

Air freight review<br />

271<br />

593<br />

810<br />

292<br />

679<br />

887<br />

Q2/05<br />

Q2/06<br />

According to statistics gathered by IATA, International<br />

Air Transport Association, the international<br />

freight tonnages grew by 4.6% in FTKs (freight<br />

ton kilometers measuring the actual freight traffic).<br />

This is still below the trends seen in the past of<br />

5.6% in average, but better than in 2005, where<br />

the air freight market growth was 3.2%.<br />

Industry sources have attributed the continued<br />

downturn in freight tonnages to high oil prices that<br />

are dampening economic activity.<br />

The air freight activity in <strong>2006</strong> for the Group can<br />

be summarized as follows:<br />

• Tonnages grew 10.5% reaching 874,000 tons.<br />

This outgrowing of the market was fueled<br />

by the gaining of new accounts as well as by<br />

the increase of existing business favored by<br />

the positive trend of the world economy in <strong>2006</strong>.<br />

• Fuel and security surcharges were still inflating<br />

the net forwarding revenues, remaining at high<br />

levels during the better part of the year.<br />

Tonnages on westbound traffics, namely Asia –<br />

Europe, and eastbound Asia – North America<br />

remained buoyant and grew at rates well above the<br />

average growth rate experienced in the market.<br />

Tonnage growth on eastbound traffics from Europe<br />

to the Far East and Asia were still suffering from<br />

over­capacity and a downtrend in prices to customers.<br />

Overall, the tonnages flown on the lane<br />

Emea – Asia – Emea experienced an increase of over<br />

19.5%. This remains the Group’s single most<br />

important trade lane comprising over 30% of total<br />

tonnage.<br />

Next to those rather traditional high volume<br />

trade lanes, in <strong>2006</strong> a new trend started to show<br />

and recorded impressive growth rates: Asia – Latin<br />

America has increased more than 20% compared<br />

to previous year.<br />

283<br />

625<br />

859<br />

315<br />

717<br />

912<br />

Q3/05<br />

Q3/06<br />

340<br />

646<br />

1,005<br />

274<br />

755<br />

1,070<br />

Q4/05<br />

Q4/06<br />

In summary, air freight tonnages grew at a much<br />

higher pace than in 2005 with continued imbalances<br />

on the different trade lanes and fierce competition<br />

to secure capacity during high season:<br />

price pressure both from airlines and customers<br />

is omnipresent.<br />

Ocean freight review<br />

Recording an impressive revenue growth of 17.8%<br />

over previous year, ocean freight was the front<br />

running core activity in <strong>2006</strong>. The reasons thereof<br />

are enumerated below:<br />

• 17.4% volume increase out­paced market growth<br />

of 10.7% (Clarkson, January 2007). The absolute<br />

figure rose from 922,880 TEU in 2005 to exceed<br />

the million TEU with 1,084,000.<br />

For the first time since many years, the supply in<br />

containerized capacity substantially outpaced<br />

the demand, having a compressing effect on the<br />

level of the ocean freight buying rates.<br />

The Europe – Far East eastbound / westbound<br />

trade lanes are the Group’s strongest trade lanes,<br />

comprising over 35% of ocean freight volumes,<br />

followed by the Transpacific eastbound /westbound<br />

trade lane, which comprised 17%, and<br />

the Transatlantic eastbound/westbound, which<br />

comprised 16%.<br />

In ocean freight, the same scenario as in air freight<br />

could be observed: one of the most significant<br />

growth rates was recorded on the Asia – Latam<br />

southbound lane growing by 47%.<br />

• The net forwarding revenue of the first quarter<br />

<strong>2006</strong> ended even higher than the highest quarter<br />

of 2005, announcing a record year. The revenue<br />

growth was affected by both, a considerable<br />

increase in volume and a growing imbalance of<br />

supply and demand for capacity on the market.<br />

This granted the industry and consequently<br />

<strong>Panalpina</strong> further rate decline on the major East /<br />

West trades.<br />

In a contrast, the capacity supply for bulk vessels,<br />

necessary for the Group’s special project business,<br />

was not exceeding demand in the same way<br />

as the container ships capacity. Consequently<br />

the freight rates of this sector increased during<br />

<strong>2006</strong>, contributing to higher net forwarding<br />

revenues, the project business accounting for<br />

5% of the total Group’s revenues.<br />

The Bunker Adjustment Factor (BAF), corresponding<br />

to the fuel surcharge for ocean freight,<br />

remained at very high levels during the majority<br />

of the year, slightly easing up during the last<br />

quarter. Nevertheless, the average BAF for <strong>2006</strong><br />

was higher than for the previous year. Management<br />

estimates its share on the net forwarding<br />

revenues increase over the previous year to be<br />

approximately 7%.<br />

• Continued pressure from customers.

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