Transmission Expansion Planning in Deregulated Power ... - tuprints
Transmission Expansion Planning in Deregulated Power ... - tuprints
Transmission Expansion Planning in Deregulated Power ... - tuprints
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5 Market Based <strong>Transmission</strong> <strong>Expansion</strong> <strong>Plann<strong>in</strong>g</strong> 69<br />
5.3.2 Case 2: There Is Non-random Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
In this case it is assumed that the follow<strong>in</strong>g non-random uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties have been identified by<br />
planners:<br />
• A generator may be added at bus 10 of the network.<br />
• An IPP may be added at bus 16 of the network.<br />
• Load of bus 24 may be change.<br />
Characteristics new generator, IPP, and load are given <strong>in</strong> tables 5.11 and 5.12. To take <strong>in</strong>to<br />
account these non-random uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong> transmission expansion plann<strong>in</strong>g, the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
scenarios are def<strong>in</strong>ed:<br />
• Scenario 1: base case (scenario which is shown <strong>in</strong> tables 5.3 and 5.4)<br />
• Scenario 2: base case plus the new generator<br />
• Scenario 3: base case plus the load change<br />
• Scenario 4: base case plus the IPP<br />
• Scenario 5: base case plus the new generator and load change<br />
• Scenario 6: base case plus the new generator and IPP<br />
• Scenario 7: base case plus the load change and IPP<br />
• Scenario 8: base case plus the new generator, load change, and IPP<br />
It is assumed that all above scenarios have the same occurrence degree. SML, WGD, and<br />
ACC are used as plann<strong>in</strong>g criterion. In other word, SML, WGD, and ACC are used as cost<br />
function of risk analysis.<br />
Table 5.13 shows the result of plann<strong>in</strong>g under SML criterion. In this table rows 1-4 show SV,<br />
number of candidates (NC), m<strong>in</strong>imax regret plan (MRP), and capacity of m<strong>in</strong>imax regret plan<br />
(CMP) at different stages of plann<strong>in</strong>g. Rows 5-12 show the values of SML at different<br />
scenarios and different stages of plann<strong>in</strong>g when SML is used as plann<strong>in</strong>g criterion. Rows 13-<br />
20 show the values of WGD at different scenarios and different stages of plann<strong>in</strong>g when SML<br />
Table 5.11 – Characteristics of uncerta<strong>in</strong> new generator and IPP<br />
Type Bus No. M<strong>in</strong> <strong>Power</strong> (MW) Max <strong>Power</strong> (MW) PDF of Bid ($/MWhr) Unavailability<br />
Gen. 10 0 150 N~(11, 1.2) 0.02<br />
IPP 16 0 N~(80, 20) N~(13, 1.5) 0.02<br />
Table 5.12 - Characteristics of uncerta<strong>in</strong> new load<br />
Bus No. M<strong>in</strong> <strong>Power</strong> (MW) PDF of Load (MW) Bid ($/MWhr) Unavailability<br />
24 0 N~ (50, 10) 17 0.05